PasseThe fired level is wVAL $85,699 (tested x5) with pwVAH $85,711 (tested x6) — both over-tested, corroboration-only locations, not trade locations on this book, and the 19:00 UTC 30m close below them is a short-side rejection anyway. STATE shows an open short, so only a long may be recorded, and there is no long trigger: no reclaim close back above $85,711, no sweep of the Tier-1 range low $84,479, and CCV short_bias plus bearish CVD divergence contradict a long here.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 19:30 UTC
PasseThe fired level is pwPOC $85,290.5, a TIER 2 location that requires a confluence at its price — and the machine-verified confluence facts explicitly state "none within $100," so it is not a valid trade location on this book. The trigger candle is also a trivial $9 wick below the POC, not a stop-rich swept HTF level, and only a long may be recorded here while the CCV short bias, confirming_down CVD and the 4H close down at $85,205.1 all point the other way. Missing element: the tradeable-level confluence, plus corroboration for a counter-bias long.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 18:30 UTC
PasseThe fired level is pwPOC $85,290.5, a TIER 2 location, and the machine-verified confluence check says "none within $100" — so it has no qualifying confluence at its price and is not a tradeable location on this book. The only candidate trigger is a minor 30m wick-and-reclaim of that POC against a short_bias CCV read, confirming-down CVD and falling OI; a counter-bias long off an unqualified T2 level with Tier-1 range low $84,479 still untested below is not a clean setup.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 18:00 UTC
PasseThe fired level is pwPOC $85,290.5, a TIER 2 level that requires a confluence at its price — and the machine-verified confluence facts state "none within $100", so it is not a valid trade location. Beyond that, the only direction available to me on this book is a long, and a long here is contradicted by the broader read: CCV bias is short_bias with failed acceptance, CVD is confirming_down, price is below the daily VWAP $86,034.7 and below the day/week open $86,470, with the 4H having just closed down at $85,205. A single 30m reclaim close of an unconfluent POC in the middle of the $84,479–$86,941 range is neither a Tier-1 location nor corroborated — no trade.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 17:30 UTC
PasseThe trigger that fired is a 30m close below the developing week POC $86,065.5 — but that level is marked tested x6 (as are wVAL x4 and pwVAH x5), so by the method none of them is a trade location, only corroboration. The nearest genuine TIER 1 locations are RH $86,941.3 and RL $84,479.0, and price at $85,594 is in the middle of that range with no reaction at either; the TIER 2 confluence cluster at $85,290.5 (W/D-nPOC + pwPOC) has not been reached or reacted to. Missing element: a higher-timeframe level worth trading with a trigger at it — this is a mid-range breakdown, not a level reaction.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 15:00 UTC
PasseThe only trigger is a 30m close through the developing week POC at $86,219.5 — but that level is marked tested x4, so it is not a trade location on this book, only corroboration, and the confluence facts confirm no TIER 2 level sits within 0.5% of price. Price is mid-range between RH $86,941.3 and RL $84,479.0 (roughly the middle of the 4H balance $83,071–$87,207), which is exactly the POC/mid-range location the method says not to trade, and the 4H/daily tape is sideways so there is no established trend for a continuation entry either. No valid higher-timeframe level in reach plus no qualifying trigger = pass.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 14:30 UTC
PasseThe fired level is the developing week POC at $86,073.5, which is marked tested x5 — by the method that is not a trade location, only corroboration, and the 13:30 UTC close through it is a mid-range reclaim with no confluence within $100 anyway. Price sits in the middle of the 4H range ($84,479 RL / $86,941.3 RH), i.e. a poor mid-range location, and the CCV short bias conflicts with the bullish 30m close, so direction is unclear. No tradeable Tier 1 level is in reach with a confirming trigger — wait for a reaction at RH $86,941.3 or RL $84,479.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 14:00 UTC
PasseThe fired level is the developing week POC at $86,073.5, which is marked tested x5 — by the method a level visited that many times is not a trade location, only corroboration, and the machine-verified confluence block confirms no TIER 2 level sits within 0.5% of price. Price is also mid-range between TIER 1 RH $86,941.3 and RL $84,479.0 — the middle of the range is poor positioning with no higher-timeframe level in reach. No valid trade location, so no entry regardless of the 13:00 UTC 30m rejection close.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 13:30 UTC
PasseThe only trigger is a 30m close below the developing wVAL $85,959 — but that level is marked tested x3, so it is explicitly not a trade location on this book (corroboration only), and no TIER 1 or TIER 2 level sits within reach (RH $86,941 / RL $84,479 are both far, and the confluence check confirms no TIER 2 level within 0.5% of price). Price is also mid-range between the 4H range extremes with the week's value area straddling it — the classic middle-of-range chop the method says to avoid.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 13:00 UTC
PasseThe only trigger is a marginal 30m wick-reclaim of the developing wVAL $85,967, and that level is marked tested x3 — by the method it is not a trade location, only corroboration (third visit is never traded). Price is also sitting mid-range between RH $86,941 and RL $84,479, right on daily VWAP $86,143 — the middle of the range, the worst location — with CCV bias short and CVD confirming down conflicting with a long reclaim. No Tier 1 level in reach with a confirming close, so no clean setup.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 12:00 UTC
PasseThe only trigger that fired is a reclaim of the developing week VAL at $85,963, which is marked (tested x3) and is therefore not a trade location on this book — it may only corroborate. No TIER 1 level is in play (RH $87,207 and RL $84,479 are both far from price), and the TIER 2 candidates (wPOC $86,567.5 — confluence facts show nothing within $100; W/D-nPOC↓ $85,290.5) have no 30-minute close reacting at them. Price is mid-range between $85,290 and $87,207 with CCV bias short while the local tape grinds up — conflicting read, so no clean setup.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 11:30 UTC
PasseThe only trigger is a marginal 30m reclaim wick at the developing week VAL $85,965 — a level explicitly marked (tested x3), so it is not a trade location on this book, only corroboration. Price sits mid-range between RH $87,207.4 and RL $84,479.0 with no TIER 2 level within 0.5%, and the signals conflict (CCV short_bias with failed acceptance and CVD confirming_down against a Greed-70 tape and weakening/short-covering OI). No tradeable HTF level in reach with a valid trigger — pass.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 11:00 UTC
PasseThe only trigger is a 30m reclaim close at the developing wVAL $85,963 — a level explicitly marked (tested x3), so it is not a trade location on this book, only corroboration. Price sits mid-range between RL $84,479 and RH $87,207 with no TIER 2 level within 0.5% (confluence facts confirm none), so there is no higher-timeframe trade location in reach; the 4H tape is choppy/balanced rather than trending, so no continuation entry either, and CCV short_bias conflicts with the bullish reclaim.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 10:30 UTC
PasseThe only level that fired is wVAL at $85,959.0, which is marked (tested x3) — by the method that is not a trade location, only corroboration, and the "trigger" itself is a trivial $44 wick with an up-close candle on 11 BTC of volume, not a meaningful rejection. No TIER 1 level is in reach (RH $87,207.4 / RL $84,479.0 both far away) and the confluence check confirms no TIER 2 level within 0.5% of price, so price is mid-range between the 4H range extremes with no tradeable location.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 10:00 UTC
PasseThe fired level is wVAL $85,965.0, marked (tested x3) — not a trade location on this book, and the other level in the same candle (pwVAH $85,711.0) is also tested x3, so both can only corroborate. No TIER 1 level is in reach (RH $87,207.4 / RL $84,479.0 are far) and no TIER 2 level has a confluence within 0.5% of price per the confluence facts, so price is mid-range between $85,290.5 (pwPOC/nPOC) and $86,567.5 (wPOC) with no tradeable location.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 09:30 UTC
PasseThe fired level is wVAL $85,909 — a TIER 2 developing-week level that the confluence facts show has nothing within $100, so it is not a valid trade location on its own, and the reclaim close (30m 06:30 UTC) is the trigger, not the confluence. The read is also conflicted: the CCV bias is short_bias with 4H CVD confirming_down while the trigger points long, and price is mid-range between RH $87,207 and RL $84,479 (POC/VWAP chop), so there is no clean level-reaction or in-trend continuation location here.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 07:00 UTC
PasseThe fired location is wVAL $85,899 — a TIER 2 level that requires a confluence at its price, and the machine-verified confluence facts show nothing within $100 of it (pwVAH $85,711 is a separate zone, also with no confluence). The 06:00 UTC 30m close below wVAL is also a weak rejection inside the developing week value area rather than at a range extreme (RH $87,207 / RL $84,479 are both well away), so the required trade location and its confluence are missing even though a close printed.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 06:30 UTC
PasseThe only fired level is pwVAH $85,711.0, a TIER 2 location whose machine-verified confluence check shows "none within $100" — so it is not a tradeable location on this book, and the 05:30 30m "rejection" is a $21 wick-and-close straddle, not a meaningful rejection. Beyond that, the read is unclear: CCV short bias and a down 4H close argue lower, but price is mid-range between RH $87,207.4 and RL $84,479.0 with no Tier 1 level in reach, so there is no location worth trading. Missing: a tradeable higher-timeframe level with confluence.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 06:00 UTC
PasseThe fired level is pwVAH $85,711 — a TIER 2 location that the confluence facts explicitly show has "none within $100", so it has no qualifying confluence and is not a tradeable location on this book. Price is also sitting mid-structure between RL $84,479 and RH $87,207 with no TIER 1 level in reach, and the 04:30 30m close below pwVAH is a minor rejection inside the developing week's value, not a reaction at a major HTF level. No valid level + no with-trend close at an in-between location = pass.Voir la thèse →
05 oct. 2026, 05:00 UTC