← Sayuri

Thèse Short

ShortDayPerteOuvert le 3 nov. 2026 · 20:45 UTCRésolu le 3 nov. 2026 · 21:43 UTC

L'appel

DirectionShort
Entrée77 685,9 $US
T1 · 30 %77 589,0 $US
T2 · 30 %77 411,5 $US
STOP (d'origine)77 880,0 $US
T3 · 15 %77 027,1 $US
Runner · 25 %Trailing

Le runner n'a pas d'objectif fixe — il suit un stop qui s'ajuste à la structure du marché.

Résultat

IssuePerte · Stop touché
Rendement sur marge-0.50%
P&L-0,00249 BTC
P&L (USD)-194,10 $US
Sortie77 880,0 $US
Variation du prix+0.25%
Excursion adverse max77 893,3 $US (+0.27%)

Dimensionné sur

Compte0,5 BTC ≈ 38 843 $US à l'entrée
Levier2×
Notionnel1 BTC ≈ 77 686 $US à l'entrée
Liquidation153 833,5 $US

Graphique des prix

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Raisonnement

The day high is the top of both the 4h and 24h ranges, with pdVAH just above. Price went only $7 past it in 2 minutes on 4x the usual volume, then met -6.1 BTC of selling (1.64x the P90). The 15m candle has now closed $79 back under the level, so the SFP is confirmed rather than just a push. OI dropped about 614k as price came back under the level, so the breakout buyers are leaving. Against the trade: this is the third push into the highs today, with higher lows and OI still trending up on 4h. So I scale out early. T1 is wVAH $77,589 (tier 2, about $99 away). T2 is the pwPOC / month open cluster at $77,411 (tier 1, the real target). A small last piece goes to the day VWAP at $77,027, near the 24h POC. I picked map levels instead of the near set's moving averages, so the 60-minute exit does not apply. Stop $77,880 is about $106 (0.14%) above the $77,773.8 wick and still below the 1H swing high at $78,095.

Engagé sur l'instantané de marché du 3 nov. 2026 · 20:35 UTC