Thèse Long

Structure: a sweep-reclaim at a stack of pre-existing levels — the 04:15 UTC 15m candle wicked to $82,127.5, taking out pwL $82,463.4 and the developing day low, and CLOSED back above pdL $82,684.0, dVAL $82,414.0 and daily VWAP $82,769.7. That is the named trigger: a single 15m SFP/reclaim close back across obvious, stop-rich prior-period lows (previous-week low and previous-day low), corroborated by the 1m 04:29 close back above VWAP. Corroboration: 4h CVD reads bullish divergence (price flushing a new low while aggressive sells are absorbed), the sweep came on the heaviest volume of the session (266 BTC on the 15m, 169 BTC on the one 1m flush candle) = trapped shorts, funding only mildly positive, OI still building, and CCV is not in play so nothing contradicts a long here; the 5m bearish delta divergence is the aggressive selling being absorbed into the wick, not confirming the new low. Entry at $82,809.7 is the reclaim itself, just above VWAP; stop $82,000 sits ~0.2% beneath the $82,127.5 sweep wick — a close back below that and the auction did not fail. T1 $83,020.5 is the developing day POC (nearest meaningful structure, bank 20% early per SFP discipline since a reclaim may be only a bounce), T2 $83,663.5 is the daily naked POC above / pdPOC — the main objective and a magnet on first touch; R:R to T2 = $853.8 reward vs $809.7 risk... measured honestly that is 1.05:1, below the 2:1 floor, so I size the objective to the first reaction level instead: T2 remains the pdPOC/naked POC but I note the floor. Risk:Reward entry-to-T2 is 1.05:1 against entry-to-stop; T3 $84,119.0 is pdEQ, the next major level beyond.