PassedThe fired level is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5 — tested 41 times in 14 days (and the adjacent pwVAL 38 times), which the method explicitly disqualifies as a trade location; a level that over-tapped only corroborates, it is never traded. Beyond that, the "trigger" is a marginal $30 wick-and-close inside a mid-range chop zone with price sitting right at the 4H VAL/POC middle of an $82.4k–$85.2k balance — no meaningful HTF level in reach, no established 4H/daily trend to continue, and no swept, obvious HTF boundary reclaimed. Mid-range is the poor-entry location the method says to skip; I wait for the range extremes ($84.9k high or $82.46k low) to produce a real SFP/failed auction.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 18:30 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5 — tested 40 times in the last 14 days (and pwVAL at $83,388.0 tested 37x) — so by method it is not a trade location, only corroboration; the same applies to wVAL/RH/RL which are all heavily tested. Structurally BTC is chopping in a tight $82,463–$85,224 4H range with no clean trend, so there is no with-trend continuation either, and the only untested tier-1/tier-2 levels ($87,816 above, $80,278/$63,443 below) are out of reach. No tradeable level in reach with a valid trigger.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 15:30 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing weekly VAH at $83,645 — explicitly marked tested x31, so by the method it is a corroboration level, not a trade location; the same is true of wPOC (x39) and the range high (x92). The "trigger" is a minor 30m wick-and-reclaim of a level price has chopped through dozens of times this week, with price sitting mid-range between wVAL $82,600 and the 4H range high $84,315 — the middle of balance, the exact poor entry the method says to avoid. No untested higher-timeframe level is in reach, and CVD confirming_down against Greed sentiment gives no clean directional corroboration either.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 15:00 UTC
PassedThe only fired location is the developing range high at $84,315.1, which is marked tested x92 — a level touched that many times is explicitly not a trade location on this book, only corroboration. The 13:30 30m candle did wick above and close below it, but the "level" is really the middle of a two-day $82.4k–$85.2k chop with the 4H POC at $83,950 right beneath price — mid-range positioning, no clean HTF structure to short into, and the weekly is in an uptrend (higher highs/lows off $74,855) which contradicts a short. No valid tradeable level with a confirmed trigger, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 14:00 UTC
PassedThe fired location is RH $84,315.1 — marked tested x91 — and the corroborating pwPOC $84,396.5 is tested x86; both are heavily-touched levels the method explicitly forbids as trade locations (they may only corroborate). The 13:00 UTC 30m candle's wick above and close below is a marginal single-candle rejection inside a two-day $82.4k–$85.2k chop with no clean HTF trend, and the untested tradeable levels (W-nPOC $87,816.5 above, pmPOC/pmVAL far below) are nowhere near price. No valid trade location = pass.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 13:30 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing range high at $84,315.1, marked tested x90 (and pwPOC $84,396.5 tested x85) — both are heavily re-tested levels the method explicitly does not trade, only corroborate, so there is no valid trade location here. The 12:30 30m candle's poke above and close back below is a marginal intra-range wick, not a sweep of an obvious untouched HTF level. Corroboration also conflicts: 4H CVD confirming_up, OI in a healthy uptrend, price holding above daily VWAP/dPOC and Greed at 73 all argue against a short at the top of a two-day chop range.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 13:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 30m wick-and-close-back-below the developing range high at $84,315.1 / pwPOC $84,396.5 — but both are heavily over-tested (RH x89, pwPOC x84), and the method never trades a level touched that many times; they may only corroborate. On top of that the read is contradicted: CVD is confirming_up, funding mildly positive, Fear & Greed 73, weekly/monthly structure trending up off $74,855 with value building higher, so a short here fades an established up-move into no clean HTF resistance. Valid tradeable locations (W/M naked POCs at $87,816.5 / $89,699.5 above, $80,278.5 / $63,443.5 below) are out of reach with no trigger.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 12:30 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the range high at $84,315.1, marked tested x88 (and the companion pwPOC $84,396.5 tested x83) — by the method a level touched that many times is not a trade location, only corroboration, so there is no valid HTF level to short from here. The read is also contradicted: CVD is confirming_up, funding is mildly positive, OI is flat-to-healthy and the weekly closed up off the $80.8k low, so a short into a rising tape off a worn-out level lacks corroboration. No tradeable-list level is in reach with a clean trigger — pass.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 12:00 UTC
PassedThe fired location — the developing week POC at $83,420.5 (tested x39), with wVAH x37 and pwVAL x36 stacked on it — is an over-tested level, explicitly not a trade location by the method; it can only corroborate. There is no untested higher-timeframe level in reach: RL $82,463.4 sits below with no sweep-and-reclaim, and the tier-2 naked POCs ($87,816.5 above, $80,278.5/$63,443.5 below) are far away. The 06:00 UTC 30m close through the POC is also not a with-trend continuation trigger — the 4H tape since 27 Sep is a choppy range ($82,463–$85,224), not an established trend, so the location requirement fails.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 06:30 UTC
PassedThe fired level — developing wVAL $82,746 — is marked tested x13, which under the method is not a trade location (it may only corroborate), and the only TIER-1 level in reach is the range low $82,463.4, which price has not swept or reclaimed. The 01:30 UTC 30m reclaim close of wVAL is a minor in-range rotation, not a reaction at a tradeable HTF level, and it points long while CVD reads confirming_down with OI falling — conflicting signals. No clean level + no valid trigger location = pass.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 02:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level is wVAL $82,744 — marked (tested x12), an over-tapped developing-week level that the method explicitly says is corroboration only, never a trade location, and the "reclaim" is a $0.50 close above it, not a genuine sweep-and-reclaim of an obvious stop-rich HTF level. Corroboration also conflicts: 4H CVD is confirming_down, OI is in a 4h strong downtrend, price is below daily VWAP ($83,026) and below the day/week opens with lower highs since the $84,934 range high — that argues down, not long. No Tier-1 level (RL $82,463 below) has been reached and no valid trigger has printed there, so there is no clean setup.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 01:30 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing week POC at $83,420.5 — tested 38 times in 14 days (and the co-located pwVAL tested x34), which the method explicitly rules out as a trade location; they may only corroborate. Price is also sitting mid-range between RL $82,463.4 and RH $84,934.9 with the 4H tape sideways/balanced (4H POC $83,950, VAL $83,300), so there is no established trend for a continuation entry and no swept HTF level reclaimed — the loss of an over-tested developing POC in the middle of a range is exactly the POC chop the method says to avoid.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 01:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5 — marked tested x37 (and pwVAL x33) — which by method is not a trade location, only corroboration; price is sitting mid-range between wVAL $82,802 and wVAH $83,743 with the 4H tape chopping sideways, so there is no tradeable higher-timeframe level in reach and no established trend for a continuation. The 30m close at 00:30 was a 1.4 BTC micro-candle in dead liquidity, not a meaningful reaction, and CVD bearish divergence conflicts with a long from here anyway.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 00:30 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing weekly POC $83,420.5 (tested x35) with pwVAL $83,388.0 (tested x31) alongside — both heavily-tested levels the method explicitly forbids as trade locations; they may only corroborate. The 23:00 UTC 30m reclaim close is a mid-range, mid-value wiggle inside the $82,463–$84,935 chop with no untested HTF level in reach, and the broader signals conflict (CVD confirming down and OI in a 4h downtrend against a greed reading of 74, CCV not in play). No clean setup: location is invalid and the read is unresolved.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 23:30 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5 — marked tested x34 (and the pwVAL at $83,388 tested x30), so by the method these are corroboration levels, not trade locations; a level touched dozens of times in 14 days is never traded. Price is also sitting mid-range between the range low $83,100 and range high $84,934.9 with a 4H tape that is choppy, not trending, so there is no valid continuation location either — this is POC chop in the middle of value. No tradeable higher-timeframe level is in reach (tier levels sit far away at $87.8k above and $63.4k below).View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 23:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level — RL $83,100.0 — is marked tested x20, so by method it is not a trade location, only corroboration; the same applies to wPOC/wVAH/wVAL and the nearby naked POCs, all heavily tested. The reclaim close (22:00 UTC 30m, C $83,160.0) is also a minimal, 25 BTC low-volume wick reclaim inside an intraday chop band, with CVD confirming down and price below the day/week open — no untested higher-timeframe level in reach and no corroborated directional read.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 22:30 UTC
PassedThe fired level, pwVAL $83,388.0, is marked tested x29 — a heavily-touched level, which by method is corroboration only and never a trade location, and the same is true of every other level in reach (wPOC x33, wVAH x43, RL x19, RH x14). The only untested TIER 1/2 levels (pmPOC $63,443.5, W-nPOC↑ $87,816.5) are nowhere near plausible reach. Higher-timeframe structure is also unclear: the 4H is a tight two-day chop between $82,463 and $85,224 with no established trend, so there is no continuation trigger either — no tradeable HTF level, no valid trigger, pass.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 22:00 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5 — marked tested x32 (and pwVAL x28) — which by the method is not a trade location, only corroboration; a level touched dozens of times in two weeks is worn out, not tradeable. Price is also sitting dead in the middle of the developing week value area ($82,796–$83,755) with no higher-timeframe extreme in reach, and the 21:00 UTC 30m close through the POC is intraday chop rather than a reaction at a strong HTF level. Missing leg: a higher-timeframe level worth trading.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 21:30 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5 — tested 31 times in 14 days, and the corroborating pwVAL is tested x27; the method never trades a level that has been touched this many times, so this is a corroboration level, not a trade location. The trigger itself is a tiny 4.5 BTC 30m close straddling the POC in the dead middle of the $82,463–$84,935 4H range — mid-range positioning, no direction: CVD is confirming_down and daily VWAP sits just below price while Fear & Greed at 74 and a flat OI give no edge either way. No tradeable higher-timeframe level (Tier 1/2 POCs sit tens of thousands away) is in reach, so there is no clean setup.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 21:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5 — touched 30 times in 14 days, and the neighbouring pwVAL ($83,388, tested x26) is equally over-tapped; the method never trades a level tested that many times, it may only corroborate. Beyond that, price is sitting literally on the POC/daily-VWAP in the middle of the day's value area ($82,792–$83,755), which is POC chop, and the "trigger" is a tiny 30m close straddling both levels rather than a rejection of a fresh higher-timeframe location. No tradeable HTF level in reach with a clean trigger — pass.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 20:30 UTC