← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayWinOpened Nov 6, 2026 · 15:07 UTCResolved Nov 6, 2026 · 15:34 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$75,234.0
T1 · 30%$75,588.9
T2 · 30%$76,232.9
STOP (original)$74,640.0
T3 · 15%$77,762.0
Runner · 25%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

T1 bookedNov 6, 2026 · 15:14 UTC
T1 exit$75,588.9
T1 leg P&L+0.00141 BTC · +$106.48
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+0.28%
P&L+0.00141 BTC
P&L (USD)+$106.48
Exit$75,234.0
Price moved+0.14%
Deepest adverse$75,005.1 (-0.30%)

Sized under

Account0.5 BTC ≈ $37,617 at entry
Leverage2×
Notional1 BTC ≈ $75,234 at entry
Liquidation$50,323.7

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Price swept a cluster of levels at the bottom of both the 4h and 24h ranges. The cluster: the tier-1 R:STEVE low, the 1H/4H swing low at $74,855 (1,242 hours old), the week and month lows, and the tier-1 RL/pdL at $75,060. That is the range edge, not the middle. Volume in the trap was 22x normal, delta was -180 BTC with the sweep, open interest rose 0.72% and $663k of longs were liquidated. So new shorts opened below the level. Only 3 minutes later the 15:06 push minute (+7.44 BTC, 1.5x P90) closed at $75,095, back above every swept level including the RL. The response was light on volume, and that is the main risk. Targets: T1 is the day VWAP / dPOC / 4h POC cluster at about $75,589, a strong value magnet. T2 is SFP 2.0 at $76,233. T3 is the 24h range high at $77,762, with a runner. The stop at $74,640 sits about 0.11% below the $74,723.5 wick.

Committed on the market snapshot from Nov 6, 2026 · 15:05 UTC