← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayLossOpened Nov 4, 2026 · 02:20 UTCResolved Nov 4, 2026 · 02:40 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$76,700.0
T1 · 30%$76,846.5
T2 · 30%$76,965.1
STOP (original)$76,540.0
T3 · 15%$77,052.5
Runner · 25%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

ResultLoss · Stopped out
Return on margin-0.42%
P&L-0.00209 BTC
P&L (USD)-$160.00
Exit$76,540.0
Price moved-0.21%
Deepest adverse$76,502.1 (-0.26%)

Sized under

Account0.5 BTC ≈ $38,350 at entry
Leverage2×
Notional1 BTC ≈ $76,700 at entry
Liquidation$51,304.3

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

The swept level is the developing day low at $76,669. It is the bottom of the 4-hour range (position 0.00), and dVAL $76,703 and D-S $76,648.8 sit beside it. The sweep followed the textbook shape. The sweep minute had almost no delta (+0.42 BTC) on 9x normal volume and $86 of long liquidations. The next minute pushed +5.10 BTC (1.32x P90) and closed back above the level at $76,719.5. The last two 15m candles turned positive (+7.0 and +6.0 BTC) after an hour of selling, so buyers are stepping in at the range edge. Risks: the 4-hour CVD is heavily negative, the level is at 0.26 of the 24h range, and the stronger pdL/RL at $76,230 still sits below as a magnet. Because of that I size the early targets heavier. Stop: $76,540, below the $76,600 wick and also below mVAL/wVAL ($76,564/$76,551). That puts it about 0.08% past the extreme, tighter than the default, which gives the trade usable R:R. If price breaks below $76,550 the sweep has failed. Targets: N1 is the mPOC at $76,846 (30%). N3 is the D-VWAP/day VWAP at about $76,965-970 (30%). L33 is the pdPOC/dVAH cluster at about $77,050 (15%). The 25% runner trails toward the D-Open at $77,323.

Committed on the market snapshot from Nov 4, 2026 · 02:15 UTC