PassedThe fired location is the developing wPOC at $83,420.5 — tested 61 times in 14 days (and the companion pwVAL $83,388.0 tested 58 times), so by method neither is a trade location, only corroboration. Price is sitting mid-range between RL $82,860/wVAL $82,814 and RH $85,593, i.e. the middle of a balanced 4H range with no trend to join, and the 00:00 UTC 30m close through the POC is a marginal $40 break of a heavily-tapped mid-range level, not a reaction at a strong HTF level. No clean higher-timeframe level in reach with a valid trigger — pass.View thesis →
Oct 01, 2026, 00:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger that fired is a marginal wick-and-reclaim of the developing week POC at $83,420.5 — a level explicitly marked tested x58, i.e. not a trade location by the method, and price is sitting mid-range between the 4H range low ($82,860) and range high ($84,523) with no higher-timeframe level in reach. Corroboration also conflicts: CVD is confirming_down and OI is weakening on the 4H against a long, while the daily/4H tape is choppy rather than trending, so there is no continuation shape either. Middle-of-range on an over-tested level is the exact trade the method says to skip.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 20:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 30m rejection at the developing wVAH $83,983 — a level marked tested x108, which by method is not a trade location, only corroboration. Beyond that the read is unclear: price is mid-range between the 4H swing high $84,523 / range low $82,860, sitting essentially on the 4H POC $83,350 and just under daily VWAP $84,177, which is POC-chop, not an edge. No tradeable higher-timeframe level (the tier-1/tier-2 set sits thousands of dollars away) is in reach with a confirming 30-minute close.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 18:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 30m close back below the developing wVAH at $83,985 — a level explicitly marked tested x106, i.e. not a trade location, only corroboration. The tape is a two-day chop between ~$82,460 and $85,593 with no established HTF trend and no swept, obvious HTF boundary reclaimed; the move is mid-range between wVAL $82,722 and the range high $84,523, so it is neither a valid continuation nor a valid sweep-reclaim. Missing element: a tradeable higher-timeframe level at the trigger.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 18:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing weekly VAH at $83,985 — marked tested x105, so by method it is corroboration only, never a trade location. Beyond that, price is mid-range between the 4H range low ($82,860) and range high ($84,523) with no untested HTF level in reach, the 4H/daily tape is choppy rather than trending (no continuation shape), and the signals conflict: Greed at 71 and positive funding against a confirming_down CVD and weakening 4H open interest. No clean higher-timeframe level plus no corroborated read = pass.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 17:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger that fired is a marginal wick-rejection of the pwPOC at $84,396.5 — a level marked tested x91, which by method is not a trade location, only corroboration. Beyond that, price is sitting mid-range between the 4H range low ($82,860) and the day high ($85,593) with no untested higher-timeframe level in reach, and the broader signals (CVD confirming up, OI in healthy uptrend, funding mildly positive, Greed 71) contradict a short off a 14-dollar wick. No valid HTF level + no clean trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 16:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger that fired is a 30m close back above the developing wVAH at $83,953 — a level tested 108 times, which by method is not a trade location, only corroboration. Structurally price is mid-range ($82,860 RL / $84,523 RH, itself tested x62), i.e. the middle of a chop zone with no clean HTF level in reach and no with-trend continuation (4H/daily is sideways, not trending). No tradeable-list level has produced a reaction, so there is no clean setup.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 16:00 UTC
PassedThe only fired level is the developing weekly VAH at $83,941 — marked tested x109, which by method is never a trade location, only corroboration, and the "SFP" is a $10 wick on a minor intraday level, not a stop-rich HTF extreme. There is no tradeable Tier 1/2 level in plausible reach (nearest naked POCs sit at $87.8k above and $80.3k below), and the 4H tape is a choppy $82.4k–$85.6k balance with CVD confirming up and greed sentiment, so there is no established trend to join on a continuation either. No valid location, no valid trigger — pass.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 15:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 30m reclaim of the developing wPOC $83,420.5 / pwVAL $83,388.0 — both marked tested x57 and x56, heavily-touched levels the method explicitly forbids as trade locations (they may corroborate only), and price sits mid-range between the 4H range low $82,829.5 and range high $84,523.5, i.e. POC chop with no untapped HTF level in reach. The 30m 14:30 close is also a mere rotation inside value, not a sweep of an obvious stop-rich HTF extreme, and the day's spike to $85,593.6 that was fully rejected leaves the read directionally unclear (CCV not in play, Greed 71, funding flat, OI rising into the rejected high).View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 15:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level (dev-week VAH $83,963, tested x107) and the other levels in that 14:00 candle (RH $84,523.5 tested x62, pwPOC $84,396.5 tested x90) are all heavily-tested corroboration levels, not trade locations — the method never trades a level touched dozens of times. Price also sits mid-structure between wVAL/RL ~$82,720–82,830 and the pwVAH/range top, i.e. POC chop, with no untested HTF level in reach. Signals conflict as well: a bullish CVD divergence and Greed sentiment against a bearish 30m rejection close, so no clean short read.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 14:30 UTC
PassedThe fired location, RH $84,523.5, is marked tested x61 — and pwPOC $84,396.5 tested x89 — so by the method these are corroboration levels, not trade locations; a level touched dozens of times in 14 days is weak and never traded. Beyond that, the 13:30 30m candle is a pullback inside a vertical impulse off $83,678 to $85,593, not a reaction at a clean untested HTF level, and price sits mid-range between the weekly value area below ($83.4k POC) and the next real objective ($87,357.8 pwH / $87,816.5 naked POCs) — the middle of the range is exactly where the method says not to enter. No tradeable-list level with a genuine trigger is in play.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 14:00 UTC
PassedThe only level that fired is the range high at $84,523.5 — marked tested x60 — and a level touched that many times is explicitly not a trade location on this book; the same goes for the pwPOC at $84,396.5 (tested x88). The 12:30 UTC 30m candle is a vertical momentum breakout closing $1,300 above the level with no pullback, so entering here would be chasing into the pwVAH ($85,751) / pwH ($87,357.8) resistance band rather than trading a clean reaction, and there is no untested HTF level in reach to anchor a long. No valid trade location = pass; I'd rather await a retest/reclaim reaction at the broken range high or a genuine sweep of $87,357.8.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 13:00 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing wPOC at $83,420.5 — tested 54 times (and pwVAL at $83,388.0 tested 51 times), which by method is not a trade location, only corroboration; the trigger candle is also a trivial mid-range rejection inside a $82,463–$84,935 chop with price sitting on daily VWAP and the day POC. No untested higher-timeframe level is in plausible reach (nearest tradeable naked POCs are $80,278/$87,816), the 4H/daily structure is sideways so there is no with-trend continuation, and signals conflict (bullish CVD divergence and Greed 71 against a bearish rejection close). Missing: a valid, untested HTF level to trade from.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 06:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 30m rejection of pwVAL $83,388 — a level explicitly marked tested x50, which the method never trades as a location (it may only corroborate). Price is sitting mid-range between wVAL $82,720/RL $82,677.6 and wVAH $83,683/RH $84,523.5, i.e. the chop around the weekly POC $83,420 (tested x53) — the poorest trade location there is — with no untapped Tier-1/Tier-2 level anywhere in reach (nearest are $87.8k above and $80.3k/$63.4k below). Higher-timeframe structure is also unresolved (weekly closed up off $80.8k, 4H chopping), so there is no corroborated directional read to trade this tiny rejection wick with.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 03:00 UTC
PassedThe fired location — the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5 (tested x52) and pwVAL at $83,388.0 (tested x49) — are heavily-tested levels, explicitly not trade locations by the method; price is also mid-range between RL $82,677.6 and RH $84,523.5 with a choppy, non-trending 4H tape, so no continuation entry exists either. The 02:00 UTC 30m rejection is a micro-wick in the middle of value, not a reaction at a clean higher-timeframe level, and the only untested Tier-1/Tier-2 levels ($87.8k above, $80.3k/$63.4k below) are far out of reach.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 02:30 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5, tested 51 times in the last 14 days (and the neighbouring pwVAL tested 48x) — per the method these over-tapped, mid-range levels are corroboration only, never trade locations. The trigger itself is a 1.8 BTC micro-candle rejection in dead mid-range between wVAL $82,720 and wVAH $83,687, with no established 4H trend (chop between $82,463 and $85,224), so neither a level-reaction nor a continuation setup qualifies. No tradeable higher-timeframe level is in reach.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 02:00 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing week POC at $83,420.5, tested 50 times, with pwVAL ($83,388.0, tested 47x) stacked on it — by the method these over-tapped levels are marked for context only and are never a trade location. The "trigger" is a tiny 3.2 BTC 30m candle rejecting mid-range value (price is sitting between dVAL $83,336 and dPOC $83,450 with daily VWAP $83,417 right there), which is POC chop, not a higher-timeframe reaction. No untapped HTF level is in reach — the nearest real ones (RH $84,523.5, W-nPOC↓ $80,278.5) are far away — so location and corroboration are both missing.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 01:30 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing weekly POC at $83,420.5, marked tested x49 (and pwVAL tested x46) — heavily-tapped levels the method explicitly says are not trade locations, only corroboration. Price is also mid-range chop between wVAL $82,720 and wVAH $83,687 with the 4H tape sideways, so there is no established trend for a continuation entry and no swept, obvious HTF extreme for a sweep-reclaim. No tradeable higher-timeframe level in reach.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 01:00 UTC
PassedThe fired location is the developing wPOC at $83,420.5 — tested 48 times in 14 days — and the nearby pwVAL $83,388.0 is tested x45; both are explicitly not trade locations, only corroboration, and price is sitting mid-range between RL $82,677.6 and RH $84,523.5 with no untested HTF level in reach. The 00:00 UTC 30m candle's wick-and-close-above is a minor reclaim at an over-tapped level, not a sweep of an obvious stop-rich HTF boundary, and the 4H tape is choppy (no established trend) with CVD confirming_down against a long — so location, trigger quality and corroboration all fail.View thesis →
Sep 30, 2026, 00:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a marginal 30m wick-rejection of the developing wVAH at $83,695 — a level tagged (tested x43), which by method is not a trade location, only corroboration. Price is mid-range between RL $82,677.6 and RH $84,315.1 with no higher-timeframe level in reach and the 4H tape choppy/sideways, so there is no with-trend continuation and no swept obvious HTF level to reclaim. Trading a 43-times-tested developing value edge in the middle of the range is exactly the poor-location entry the method forbids.View thesis →
Sep 29, 2026, 23:30 UTC