PassedThe 15m candle closing 07:15 UTC closed THROUGH pmVAH $77,682 / dVAH $77,623 — a confirmed bullish breakout trigger with aligned flow (CVD confirming_up, 5m delta +16.9 BTC, OI healthy_uptrend +1.97%, funding neutral at +0.0094%) — but price at $77,706.9 is sitting at the extension, essentially on the developing day high $77,753.2, not at a retest. Entering here is chasing the trigger's extreme, which the method forbids; the entry is the return to the broken pmVAH level (or the trigger candle's body).View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 07:35 UTC
PassedThe 15m close at 07:15 (C $77,709.8) broke through pmVAH $77,682.0 and dVAH $77,623.0, but a close THROUGH a level is confirmation, not an entry — the entry is the retest, and current price $77,721.2 is at the extension/high of the trigger candle (dHigh $77,748.7), not back at the broken level. Entering here would be chasing the day high with no pullback; the 5m delta is flat (+3.4 BTC) into a fresh high, so there is no aggressive-flow corroboration either. Waiting for price to return to pmVAH/dVAH to hold as support.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 07:30 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a pmVAH ($77,682) rejection, but the corroboration contradicts the short: price is above daily VWAP ($77,218) and dPOC, CVD is confirming_up, OI is building in a healthy uptrend, funding is neutral, and today's structure is a clean sequence of higher highs/higher lows off the $76,180 low — fading momentum into that with the developing day high just above is exactly the trade the method forbids. The 15m "rejection" close at 07:15 was also immediately overtaken (the 07:00 15m closed up and price has since printed a fresh day high at $77,734.8), so the reclaim was never held as resistance; the 5m delta is flat, i.e. no delta response confirming sellers at the level. Long side has no valid location either — price sits at the top of the range, not at a retest, so there is no clean setup.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 07:25 UTC
PassedThe 15m close at 07:15 did reject pmVAH ($77,682) / dVAH ($77,583) with a wick-and-close-back, but the corroboration points the other way: CVD confirming_up, 5m delta confirming_up (+12.6 BTC), OI in a healthy uptrend (+1.41% 4h / +2.06% 24h), funding only mildly positive, and price is one-time-framing up on 1H/4H off the day low at $76,180 having reclaimed VWAP, dPOC and W-Open. Shorting a fresh developing day high into an up-trending, buy-confirmed tape is fading momentum with the flow against me, and the reaction quality at the high is thin (small volume, no negative delta response). No corroborated short trigger, and no long trigger at a pullback location yet.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 07:15 UTC
PassedNo confirming trigger at a tradeable level: price is sitting at $77,421 in the middle of the developing day value area (dVAL $77,066 / dPOC $77,200 / dVAH $77,577) with the last closed 15m candle (06:15 UTC, C $77,436.8) containing no scanned level — a mid-value no-trade zone, not a level reaction. The earlier thrust through pwPOC/VWAP ($77,139-77,156) has already extended well beyond, so entering here would be chasing the extension rather than the retest, and the 5m delta is flat (-3 BTC) into the dVAH with no reaction quality to corroborate either side.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 06:30 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a "rejection" at the developing day high, but the dHigh is not a pre-existing, stop-rich level — it is the extreme price made by this very rally minutes ago, so there is no swept prior structure and no valid SFP location (the method says trade SFPs at major, previously-defined highs, not at a fresh extreme of an ongoing move). Corroboration also points the other way: CVD is confirming_up, OI is in a healthy uptrend +1.27% on 4h, funding is benign at +0.0089%, price is above daily VWAP ($77,142) and the day is one-time-framing up off the $76,180 low — shorting into that flow at the highs is fading momentum, not a reaction at strong resistance. 5m delta is flat (+10.5 BTC), i.e. no delta response confirming the rejection, which is itself a poor-reaction reason to stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 05:45 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m wick above the developing dVAH ($77,577) — but that is a 5-minute event, and the named-timeframe facts confirm the 05:15 15m close contains no scanned level, so there is no valid 15m trigger at any tradeable level. Price is also pressing into the developing day high with CVD/delta/OI all confirming up, which contradicts a short at the VAH, and a long here would be chasing the extension rather than a retest. Additionally this same dev_vah level already fired within the last 30 minutes, so I require a fresh 15m close before acting.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 05:35 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on the table is a 15m rejection wick at the developing dVAH/day high ($77,555–77,578) — but that would be a counter-trend short into a clearly rising tape: price is one-time-framing up off the day low $76,180, above daily VWAP $77,111, with CVD confirming_up, 5m delta confirming_up (+23.9 BTC), OI building in a healthy uptrend and positive funding. The directional read for that short is contradicted by every broader signal, and the developing day high is a freshly-made extreme rather than a pre-existing stop-rich level, so the sweep-reclaim quality is poor. With bias up I would rather buy a pullback, but no with-trend 15m close has printed after a pullback, so there is no long trigger either.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 05:15 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the trigger leg is missing entirely. Price is also sitting right at the developing day high/dVAH ($77,497–77,500) after a grind up, which is an extreme, not an in-between location, so no continuation entry applies either. Structure/flow is mildly bullish (CVD confirming up, OI healthy uptrend, funding neutral) but without a confirmed close and retest there is no entry.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 05:00 UTC
PassedThe only fresh trigger is a 15m close back below dVAH $77,220 — a minor developing value edge, and it is contradicted by everything else: the day is in an established upswing (4H and 1H closed strongly up, OI healthy_uptrend, 4H CVD confirming_up, bullish 5m delta divergence, and the same 15m candle wicked pwPOC $77,139.5 and closed back above it — a support hold, not a breakdown). So the short read is contradicted by corroboration, and there is no long trigger at a level: price sits mid-air between pwPOC/VWAP below and dHigh $77,500 above, with no reclaim/rejection close and no with-trend retest entry available. Missing piece: corroborated direction plus a valid trigger location.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 04:15 UTC
PassedPrice has thrust up from the day low through VWAP ($77,036), pdH ($77,090) and dVAH ($77,224) in a single 1H impulse, but the most recent closed 15m candle (03:45 UTC, C $77,281.5) contains no scanned level — machine-verified — so there is no confirming close AT a level and no retest: current price is the extension of the thrust, not a pullback into it. Entering here would be chasing the move; the honest entry is a return to the broken pdH/VWAP shelf. Flat 5m delta (+6 BTC) into the highs also gives no reaction quality to confirm the break.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 04:00 UTC
PassedThe 03:00 15m candle closed THROUGH pdH $77,090.2 and pwPOC $77,139.5 in one impulsive high-volume bar, but the close-through is confirmation, not an entry — the method requires the RETEST, and price ($77,215) is still sitting at the extension/high of the trigger candle with no pullback to the broken level yet. Entering here would be chasing the excess; additionally the 5m delta prints a bearish divergence (-19.4 BTC) into the new high, so reaction quality at the breakout is not yet corroborating. I wait for price to return to the pdH/pwPOC flip zone.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 03:15 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 15m close ($76,890.5) barely $4.5 through the developing dVAH at $76,886.0 — a marginal break with no retest: price is still sitting at/above the trigger candle's body high, so entering here would be the extension, not the retest. Reaction quality is poor too: the thrust came on a single 80 BTC 5m spike that immediately faded (5m and 1m closed down off $76,946.6, just below yesterday's high $77,090.2 and the day high), and the day high / pwPOC $77,139.5 sit right overhead. No clean location, no retest, weak follow-through — pass.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 03:00 UTC
PassedThe 15m close at 02:30 is a thrust close through W-Open $76,748.8 and right at the developing day high $76,818.1 — a close THROUGH, not a retest, and current price IS the extension (the high itself), so entering here is the chased trade the method forbids. The entry would be the pullback into the trigger candle's body / the reclaimed W-Open, which has not printed; volume into the break is also thin (7.9 BTC on the 15m, sub-1 BTC prints on the 1m), a poor reaction for a breakout.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 02:30 UTC
PassedThe 15m close at 02:15 (C $76,650.8) reclaimed dVAH $76,546.0 and edged above pdVAH $76,645.0, but the reaction quality is poor: overnight volume is negligible (10.9 BTC on the trigger 15m, 5m delta flat at +3.4 BTC over 30m), so there is no delta or volume response corroborating the reclaim. Price is also sat right under the developing day high $76,718.2 / W-Open $76,748.8 — a long here is buying into resistance rather than a clean retest, and the upside to the next real objective (pwPOC $77,139.5) against a stop below the 02:00 swing low $76,534.6 does not clear 2:1 honestly. No clean setup: trigger exists, corroboration and reaction quality do not.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 02:15 UTC
PassedThe only structure here is a marginal 15m wick above pdVAH $76,645 / developing day high $76,666 closing $2.50 below the level — a one-tick "rejection" with essentially no excursion beyond the level and no stop-rich sweep; that is not a genuine SFP/failed auction, it is noise on 5 BTC of volume in a dead 02:00 UTC tape. Corroboration is also absent: 5m delta is flat (+0.7 BTC), OI is flat (+0.18%), funding is neutral, and the last hour is a series of higher lows pushing INTO the level, i.e. a poor reaction quality that the method says is itself sufficient to pass. Price is also mid-range between dVAL $76,180 and pdH $77,090 with no clean trend to join — no valid trigger, no corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 02:00 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m wick-and-close-back below pdVAH $76,645 — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the last CLOSED 15m candle (01:30 UTC, O 76,494.5 H 76,620.2 L 76,480.4 C 76,589.7) closed UP and never touched pdVAH, so no 15m rejection at the level has printed. The long side is equally unconfirmed for entry: the 01:45 15m close reclaimed pdEQ/pwVAL/dVAH, but price is now pressed against pdVAH resistance with no retest, and the broader read conflicts (CVD bearish divergence, flat delta, flat OI, holiday-thin volume of 1–4 BTC per 15m candle — a poor reaction at the level). No named-timeframe trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 01:55 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on the developing day high ($76,620.2) — but that is a fresh, in-session extreme printed minutes ago on near-zero volume (0.0–1.1 BTC on the last candles), not a pre-existing stop-rich level, so it is not a valid sweep-reclaim location; and the 15m candle shown closed at 01:30 actually closed UP through pdEQ/dVAH, i.e. the named trigger points long, not short. Long-side, the close through dVAH/pdEQ has had no retest and price sits at the very top of the 440-point intraday range with no room to T2 — the overhead levels (W-Open $76,748.8, pwPOC $77,139.5, pdH $77,090.2) would need a stop under $76,412 for barely 1:1 to pwVAL-flip logic. Missing piece: a quality level plus a retest and honest R:R; the reaction quality (dead overnight volume, flat OI, 4h CVD bearish divergence against a long) also fails to corroborate.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 01:45 UTC
PassedPrice is pinned within a few dollars of a cluster of levels (pdEQ $76,495, VWAP $76,454, dVAH $76,506, pwVAL $76,481) — the 15m close at 01:30 sits literally on pdEQ, which is a coin-flip mid-value location, not a clean reaction: no meaningful wick rejection, 0.5 BTC volume on the last candle, 5m delta flat (+12.9 BTC) and OI flat, i.e. a poor reaction at the level. Price is also mid-range between dPOC $76,297 and dHigh $76,580 with no trend on 1m/5m/15m to join, and STATE shows pd_eq already fired within the last 30 minutes, so this level requires a fresh, higher-quality trigger. No tradeable trigger, no corroboration — pass.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 01:35 UTC
PassedPrice is pinned within a $60 cluster of pdEQ ($76,495), pwVAL ($76,481), VWAP ($76,454) and dVAH ($76,506) — the 15m close at 01:30 sits literally on top of all four, so there is no directional reaction: the same candle wicked above pdEQ/dVAH and closed below them while closing back above pwVAL/VWAP. That is a no-trade middle-of-value location, not a level reaction, and the 1m reclaim of pwVAL is not a valid trigger on its own. Corroboration is also mixed (CCV not in play, 4h CVD bearish divergence against a marginally bullish micro-reclaim, flat 5m delta, flat OI, 39 BTC of day volume), and any honest T2 (dPOC $76,297 below or pdVAH $76,645 above) sits closer than a coherent stop, failing the R:R floor.View thesis →
Sep 18, 2026, 01:30 UTC