PassedThe gate fired on a 5m wick/close below pdL $80,768.1, but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the named 15m candle (14:45 close $80,610.0) contains no scanned level, so there is no confirming 15-minute close at or through pdL. Structure is also unclear: price has ground up all session off dLow $80,062 with CVD confirming_up and 5m delta positive, which contradicts a short at pdL, while a long into pdL resistance has no reclaim close either. No trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 15:05 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5-minute wick-and-close-back below pdL $80,768.1, but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the named-TF facts confirm the 14:45 15m candle (C $80,610.0) contains no scanned level and no 15-minute candle has CLOSED rejecting or reclaiming pdL. So the trigger is missing. Corroboration also conflicts with a short here: CVD and 5m delta are both confirming_up, price is above daily VWAP $80,444 and grinding higher off the day low, and OI is only short-covering — a short into an upward-pushing tape at a level that has not been confirmed rejected is exactly the fade this method forbids.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 15:05 UTC
PassedNo trigger: the last closed 15m (14:45 UTC, O $80,558.5 H $80,697.0 L $80,529.2 C $80,610.0) contains no scanned level — it closed in open space between dVAH/VWAP ($80,507/$80,442) below and the day open/pdL ($81,200/$80,768) above, with no close through or rejection at any tradeable level. The tape is also not trending: 1H/15m is a tight sideways grind ($80,095–$80,728) with near-zero volume on the last several candles and Delta 5m flat (+3 BTC), so there is no with-trend continuation to join either. Mid-range POC chop is a no-trade zone — pass.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 15:00 UTC
PassedThe trigger is a 15m close above dVAH $80,507.0 (14:30 candle, O $80,466.0 → C $80,558.5), but a close THROUGH a level is confirmation, not an entry — the entry must be the retest of $80,507 and price is currently $80,564.9, extended above the trigger and still inside the trigger candle's upper half with no pullback yet. Quality is also thin: the breakout printed on tiny volume (4.4 BTC on the 15m), Delta 5m is flat (+43 BTC/30m), and 4h OI is falling (short_covering -2.05%), so the push looks like short-covering rather than fresh demand — and the dVAH sits right on daily VWAP $80,441.9 in the middle of a $80,062–$81,273 day range, below the D-Open $81,200.1. No clean reaction, no retest — watch, not trade.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 14:45 UTC
PassedNo valid trigger: the only 15m close at the fired level (14:15, dVAH $80,507) closed BELOW the developing VAH, i.e. a rejection pointing down, while the 5m reclaim above dVAH points up — the two conflict and the 5m close can never be the named trigger. Price is also pinned in a $80,250–$80,730 chop between dPOC/VWAP and dVAH with flat 5m delta (+39 BTC/30m) and falling OI (short-covering -2.05%) — a poor reaction at the level. No clean directional read, so I pass on both sides.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 14:40 UTC
PassedPrice is pinned inside a 400-dollar chop band between dVAL/dPOC (~80,250-80,280) and dVAH (80,507), sitting right on daily VWAP at 80,442 — the definition of mid-range, no-trade territory. The 14:15 15m candle wicked below VWAP/pwH and closed back above, but it also closed BELOW dVAH from above, so the level reads are contradictory rather than confluent, and delta (flat, +43.8 BTC/30m) shows no reaction quality at the level. No clean directional trigger: CVD confirming up and Greed sentiment conflict with the day being down from D-Open 81,200 on short-covering OI, so the corroboration leg is missing.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 14:30 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5-minute close back below pwH $80,417.0, but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the named 15-minute candle (14:00 UTC, O $80,500.5 H $80,728.8 C $80,537.7, closed UP) contains no scanned level and confirms nothing bearish. Price is chopping in a tight $80,060–$80,730 balance around dVWAP $80,442.6 / dPOC $80,278.5 with flat 5m delta (+2.9 BTC), CVD confirming up and OI merely short-covering — no corroborated directional read. No confirming 15m close at a tradeable level means no trade.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 14:20 UTC
PassedThe fired "trigger" is a trivial 15m candle at dVAH ($80,479) with a $54 range and 2.7 BTC of volume — a poor reaction, no delta response, no real interaction with the level; the tape has been coiling in a $80,260–$80,600 box for hours with no trend. Corroboration is mixed: price is below the day open ($81,200) and pdL ($80,768) with the day making a lower low, OI falling on short covering, so a long here is a fade of the day's downside rotation with no confluence, and the nearest upside structure (pdL $80,768) sits above dHigh-side space with no meaningful R:R once the stop must go under dVAL/dLow. Reaction quality is the blocker, not merely a missing retest.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 14:00 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open short, so only a long could be recorded — and the long case here is thin. The 13:30 15m candle reclaimed pwH $80,417 / VWAP $80,441.7 and closed above dVAH $80,479, but it is a tiny 8 BTC candle: no volume behind the reclaim, 5m delta flat (+7.7 BTC/30m), and 4h OI falling -2.32% (short covering, not new demand) — a poor reaction at the level and a sufficient reason to pass on its own. Structurally price is also still below the day open $81,200 with a lower-high day after a 81,894 high, so the long is fading the day's bearish rotation into overhead supply.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 13:45 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open short, so only a long may be recorded — and there is no clean long trigger. The gate fired on a 5m close back below pwH $80,417.0, which is a bearish-side event, not a long; the last CLOSED 15m candle (13:15) closed down at $80,445.8 with no rejection/reclaim shape at a tradeable level, and price is simply chopping in a $80,260–$80,600 balance between dVAL/dPOC and dVAH/VWAP. Mid-range location, no confirming 15m long trigger, and weakening open interest into a low-volume tape — no setup.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 13:35 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a VWAP hold ($80,441.6) — but this is a $4 wick-and-close on a 15m candle with near-zero volume (0.2–6 BTC) inside a 13:00–13:30 chop band; that is a poor reaction, not a reaction worth trading. Price is also pinned between dVAH $80,479 (which the same candle closed back below) and dPOC $80,278 — mid-range, the no-trade zone — and the day is trending lower off D-Open $81,200 with a lower high structure, so a long here is against the intraday direction while OI shows short-covering (-5.27%), which weakens a reversal read. No clean level-reaction long with corroboration: I pass.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 13:30 UTC
PassedThe only direction available to me here is a long (this book already holds an open short), and the long case is weak: the 15m at 13:00 closed above VWAP $80,441.6 and dVAH $80,479.0, but price has already slipped back to $80,455.4 — below the dVAH it supposedly reclaimed — so the "reclaim" is not holding and there is no clean retest-and-hold of dVAH to enter against. Day structure is lower: price is well below the day open $81,200.1 and rejected from pdL $80,768.1 territory, so a long here is fading the day's downtrend into overhead supply (dVAH/pdL) rather than trading a confirmed level reclaim. Reaction quality is poor too — the 13:00 push came on a single 151 BTC 5m spike that immediately faded, so the confirming close lacks follow-through.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 13:20 UTC
PassedThe 13:00 15m candle did close above dVAH $80,479 and VWAP $80,441.5, but that is a close THROUGH the level, not an entry — price at $80,500.5 is still at/just beyond the trigger, with no retest of $80,479/VWAP yet, so entering here is the extension, not the pullback. Corroboration is also thin: day is one-time-framing lower from D-open $81,200 with the day's range compressed in a $80,060–$80,600 chop, OI is falling (short covering, -2.21%), and the upside path runs straight into dHigh $81,273 / D-Open $81,200 resistance, giving poor room for a long. I hold the open short and wait.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 13:15 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m close above dVAH $80,463 — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the last CLOSED 15m candle (12:45 UTC, C $80,429.4) closed below dVAH/VWAP, not through it. The only 15m level event is a close above pwH $80,417, a marginal level inside a $400 chop range with flat 5m delta (+3.3 BTC) and short-covering OI — a poor reaction, no corroboration, and no retest to enter on. Only a long may be recorded here, and there is no confirmed 15m long trigger.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 13:05 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 15m close above pwH $80,417.0, but this is a marginal, low-volume creep-back rather than a clean level reaction: the day is balancing in a tight $80,060–80,540 range, price is pinned at daily VWAP $80,433 and dVAH $80,463 sits directly overhead as immediate resistance, so a long here has no room before the next supply. There is no retest of the broken level yet, and the broader read is mixed — funding neutral, OI showing short-covering (-2.19%) rather than new buying, and price is below the day open $81,200 and pdL $80,768 after a clear rejection down from $81,273, so the intraday structure is lower highs. Missing element: corroboration and a quality reaction at the level — I am declining, not merely waiting.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 13:00 UTC
PassedThe dPOC $80,278.5 reclaim is a micro-wick inside a $200 chop range (15m range $80,095–$80,578), not a swept, stop-rich level — and this same dev_poc already fired within the last 30 minutes, so re-taking it without a fresh trigger is forbidden. Corroboration is also against a long: Delta 5m is confirming_down (-108.7 BTC), the same 15m candle rejected both VWAP $80,433.3 and pwH $80,417.0 by closing below them, price is under the day open $81,200 with OI bleeding. No clean long trigger at a level worth trading.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 12:35 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and the long case here is weak: the fired level is the developing dPOC ($80,278.5) — mid-range fair value, exactly where the method says not to open new positions — and the 12:15 15m candle that wicked it closed DOWN and also rejected both VWAP ($80,433.8) and pwH ($80,417.0), which is a bearish, not bullish, reaction. Delta 5m is confirming_down (-105.4 BTC) and open interest is falling, so there is no corroboration for a long; the reaction quality at the level is poor.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book (open short already), but the 12:00 15m close is a rejection BELOW VWAP $80,446 and dVAH $80,471 — that is a short-side signal, not a long trigger. The only long-ish read (a wick below pwH $80,417 with a close back above) is a micro-reclaim inside a $115-wide chop range on near-zero volume, with flat 5m delta and no meaningful reaction quality; there is no confirmed long trigger at a tradeable level, and price sits mid-range between dVAL $80,196 and dVAH $80,471 — a poor location.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 12:15 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book (open short), but there is no clean long trigger: the 15m candle at 11:45 closed at $80,419.8 — below both dVAH $80,471.0 and daily VWAP $80,446.2 after wicking above them, which is a rejection AT resistance, not a reclaim. The pwH $80,417.0 "reclaim" is a sub-$5 hair-close on a level already fired within the last 30 minutes, with tiny volume and no meaningful delta response — a poor reaction, not a tradeable trigger. Price is pinned between dVAH/VWAP overhead and dPOC $80,278.5/dVAL $80,196.0 below with no confirmed long trigger.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 12:05 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open short, so only a long may be recorded — and there is no clean long trigger. The last closed 15m (11:45 UTC) rejected dVAH $80,473 and VWAP $80,446 from above, which is a bearish reaction, not a bullish one; its only bullish element is a marginal close $2.8 above pwH $80,417, which is noise rather than a reclaim. Price is mid-range between dVAL $80,196 and dVAH $80,473 on tiny volume with no confirming long structure, so the confirming trigger for a long is missing.View thesis →
Sep 20, 2026, 12:00 UTC