PassedThe only fired trigger is a 5m close below VWAP ($86,390.7) — a 5m close is never a valid named trigger on this book, and the last CLOSED 15m candle (23:45) actually closed UP through dVAH and above VWAP, so the 15m structure contradicts the short. Price is also sitting dead in the middle of a 300-dollar developing value area (dVAL 86,263 / dPOC 86,337 / dVAH 86,442) right at fair value, the worst location per the method, and flow is mixed (4h CVD confirming up, 5m delta confirming down, OI falling on the 4h). No confirming 15-minute close at a tradeable level = no entry.View thesis →
Sep 22, 2026, 00:10 UTC
PassedThe only fired level is the developing day POC ($86,485.5) — a mid-value, fair-value location in a brand-new session with just 12.9 BTC traded, and the method explicitly says not to open new positions at the POC (POC chop, 50/50). The 5m close below it is not a valid trigger (1m/5m closes may only corroborate), and the last CLOSED 15m candle (23:45) actually closed BACK ABOVE the dPOC and VWAP — i.e. the named-timeframe evidence points the opposite way to the 5m break, so there is no confirming 15m trigger in either direction. Flow is also unresolved: CVD confirming up and a strong daily +6.2% expansion versus a short CCV bias and flat 5m delta — conflicting signals with no clean level reaction.View thesis →
Sep 22, 2026, 00:05 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" is the day rolling over at the D-Open ($86,572.3), which is trivially the prior day's close — no genuine rejection or break-and-retest of a level, just a flat 15m candle closing exactly at the open with negligible volume (0.3 BTC) and flat 5m delta (+2.6 BTC/30m). Price sits mid-air between pdH/D-nPOC $87,357.8–$87,816.5 above and pdVAH $85,290 below, i.e. no tradeable level reaction; and the read is conflicted — daily/4H structure and CVD are strongly up (+6.71% impulse day, OI building) while CCV bias reads short. No confirming close, no clean location: pass.View thesis →
Sep 22, 2026, 00:00 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block naming a CLOSED 15-minute candle at any tradeable level — so the required confirming trigger is simply absent. Price at $86,407 sits in open space above dVAH ($85,288) and well below the D-nPOC↑ ($87,816.5) / dHigh ($87,357.8), i.e. not at a level, and the read is conflicted anyway: CCV bias is short while CVD shows bullish divergence and price is +6.4% on the day. Without a named 15m close I have no entry.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 23:45 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable, so I have no candles at all — and without candles there is no way to name a specific 15-minute close through or rejecting a level, which is the required trigger. Price at $86,623 is also in open space well above dVAH ($85,284) and VWAP ($84,125) and just under the developing day high/nPOC ($87,357/$87,816), so proximity alone is not a location. Missing element: the confirming trigger candle.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 23:15 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block accompanies this snapshot, so I cannot name a single closed 15-minute candle as a trigger — the confirming close is missing. Price at $86,386 also sits in open space between the dVAH ($85,280) it has already left behind and the D-nPOC above at $87,816.5 / dHigh $87,357.8, i.e. not at a tradeable level with a confirmed reaction. With CCV bias short against a +6.42% up-day and short-covering OI, the read is also unconfirmed, so this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 23:00 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable, so no 15-minute candle close can be named as a trigger — and the method requires a specific confirming close at the level, not proximity. Price at $86,586 sits in open space between the developing dVAH ($85,176) below and the day high / D-nPOC↑ ($87,357/$87,816) above, with no verified reaction candle at either. Additionally the read conflicts: CCV bias is short while CVD confirms up and price is +7% on the day — no clean setup.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 21:30 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable, so I have no 15-minute candle to name as a trigger — the required confirming close (through or rejecting a level) cannot be verified, and the TRIGGER FACTS block gives me nothing to cite. Price at $86,547 is also in open space between dVAH $85,168 and the day high/naked POC $87,357–87,816, with a short CCV bias against the +7.2% up-move and 5m delta fading price — conflicting signals on top of the missing trigger. No trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 21:15 UTC
PassedPrice action / candle data is unavailable this cycle, so no 15-minute trigger candle can be named — the mandatory confirming close is missing. Price at $86,914 is also sitting just under the developing day high ($87,357.8) and the D-nPOC above ($87,816.5) after a +7.3% vertical day, which is exactly the location where I may only trade a confirmed reaction, not proximity. With CCV short_bias against the up-move and no verifiable rejection or reclaim close, I stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 21:00 UTC
PassedPrice action data is unavailable, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute trigger candle at any level — and a named close is the mandatory trigger on this book. Price at $86,909 is also in open space between dVAH/VWAP below and the D-nPOC $87,816.5 above, with CCV short_bias conflicting with confirming_up CVD/delta and a +7% up day, so the read is not corroborated either way.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 20:45 UTC
PassedPrice action data is unavailable, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the confirming trigger is missing entirely. Price at $87,087 also sits in open space just under the developing day high ($87,357.8) and the D-nPOC above ($87,816.5), far extended above VWAP ($83,988) and dVAH ($85,118), i.e. nowhere near a tradeable level with a verified reaction. On top of that the CCV short bias conflicts with the strongly up-trending tape (CVD confirming up, +7.5% 24h), so the read is not corroborated in either direction.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 20:30 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable and no TRIGGER FACTS candle is shown, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the confirming trigger is missing. Price is sitting just under the developing day high ($86,868.5) after a +6.92% vertical day, which is an extreme, not a clean location, and the dev_high was already fired recently. No trade without a verified trigger close.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 20:15 UTC
PassedPrice action for all timeframes is unavailable this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the confirming trigger is missing, and TRIGGER FACTS/candles cannot be cited. Price sits at $86,530 just under the developing day high $86,868.5 (which already fired recently) and beneath the D-nPOC↑ $87,816.5, i.e. at an extreme after a +6.6% day, where only a reaction entry would be allowed and none is confirmed. CCV short_bias also conflicts with any continuation long here, so I stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 20:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing day high $86,868.5 — but that "high" IS the candle's own fresh extreme, made on the same 15m candle that printed it, so there is no pre-existing, stop-rich level that was swept: a fresh extreme with no prior structure above it is not a valid sweep-reclaim location. Everything else contradicts a short anyway: price is one-time-framing up on 1m/5m/15m/1h/4h, CVD confirming_up (+138 BTC), 5m taker delta confirming_up (+147 BTC), OI rising into the move (healthy_uptrend, new longs), funding benign at +0.0054%, and day +6.6% with value migrating far above yesterday's — fading momentum into that is exactly the forbidden trade. Long-side continuation is also not takeable here: the trigger candle's high IS the extreme, price at $86,527.7 has not pulled back into open space, and going long at a spiked fresh high is chasing.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 19:45 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable and no TRIGGER FACTS candle can be cited, so there is no confirming 15-minute close at any tradeable level — the trigger leg is missing outright. Price at $86,309 is also sitting in open air just under the developing day high ($86,427) and the D-nPOC above ($87,816.5), with nothing in reach that has reacted: the nearest tradeable location is either an untested naked POC above or the dVAH/day-open cluster far below. Entering on proximity alone into a +6.5% vertical day (greed 70, CCV short bias conflicting with confirming-up CVD and healthy-uptrend OI) would be exactly the chased trade the method forbids.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 19:30 UTC
PassedNo trigger can be named: the price-action block is unavailable and there is no TRIGGER FACTS 15-minute close I can cite at any level, so entry confirmation is missing entirely. Price at $86,030 is also in open space well above every tier-one level (dVAH $84,938, dPOC/D-Open ~$81,130-81,324) and just under the developing day high $86,283 — a spiked high, not a location where a fade is permitted, while the CCV short bias conflicts with any continuation long into that high.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC
PassedNo price action or candle data is available and there is no TRIGGER FACTS block, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute close through or rejecting any level — the confirming trigger is missing. Price at $85,908 is also in open space above dVAH $84,936 and below the developing day high $86,283/D-nPOC $87,816, with a short CCV bias contradicting any continuation long. Without a verified closed trigger candle this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 18:45 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided this tick and no TRIGGER FACTS candle is available, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute trigger at any level — the confirming close is missing. Price at $85,896 is also sitting just under the developing day high $86,283 in open space well above VWAP $83,611, with a short CCV bias contradicting any continuation long, so the read is unresolved in both directions.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 16:00 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block is present, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle close at any level — the confirming trigger is missing outright. Price at $85,854 is also mid-air between dVAH $84,782 and the developing day high $86,283, i.e. not at a tradeable level, and the signals conflict (CCV short_bias and short-covering OI against a +6.4% day with CVD confirming up). No trigger, no location, conflicting corroboration — pass.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 15:30 UTC