PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and there is no confirmed 15-minute short trigger: the last CLOSED 15m candle (13:15 UTC) closed UP at $79,558.7, and the named-TF facts show the 13:30 15m candle wicked below pdH $79,423.1/dPOC $79,453.5 and RECLAIMED both on the close — a bullish reaction, not a rejection. The only bearish evidence is a 5m close below pdH, which can never be the named trigger. Broader signals also contradict a short (CVD confirming up, 5m delta bullish divergence, price above VWAP $79,173, greed sentiment), so there is no clean bearish setup.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 13:40 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing day POC at $79,453.5 — price is sitting exactly on it, i.e. at fair value in the middle of today's developing value area (dVAL $78,961 / dVAH $79,664), which the method explicitly calls a no-new-trade location (POC chop, a 50/50). The "trigger" is a 15m candle that wicked $18 below the dPOC and closed $3.50 above it — a doji-class inside candle with no meaningful rejection, not a confirming close through or a proper reaction at a level. Corroboration is also mixed: 4h CVD confirming_down and OI falling on short-covering against a mildly bullish intraday structure, with Delta 5m flat (Σ -1.9 BTC) — a poor reaction with no flow response, which is itself sufficient to pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 13:20 UTC
PassedThe 12:30 15m candle closed through pdH ($79,423.1) and the dPOC ($79,453.5), but a close THROUGH a level is confirmation, not an entry — price at $79,460 is sitting right at the trigger candle's body top with no retest yet, so entering here is chasing the thrust. Corroboration is also mixed against the long: 4h CVD reads confirming_down, 5m taker delta is a bearish divergence (−75.4 BTC into the new high), and OI is falling (short_covering backdrop) — a rally into pwPOC $79,706.5 / dHigh on shrinking OI and negative delta is short-covering, not new demand. No clean trigger + weak reaction quality = pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 12:45 UTC
PassedNo valid 15-minute trigger: the gate fired on a 5m wick-and-close at dVAH $79,429, and the machine-verified named-TF facts show the last closed 15m candle (12:15 UTC) contains no scanned level — a 5m close can only corroborate, never be the named trigger. This level was also already attempted within the last 30 minutes, so a fresh 15m close is required. Corroboration is conflicting too: CVD confirming_down and a 5m bearish delta divergence (-78.2 BTC) argue against buying a push through the developing VAH, while price is mid-range between dVAH $79,429 and dHigh $79,711 with no clean reaction to trade.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 12:40 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 15m rejection wick at the developing dVAH ($79,379), but this is a weak, low-quality location to trade short: the dVAH is a Tier-2 developing edge only ~$40 from spot, price is above daily VWAP ($79,110) with the 4H closing up and the intraday structure making higher lows off $78,402 — the read is contradicted by the broader signals (CVD bullish divergence, F&G 66 Greed, day above D-Open $78,407). Any short from $79,339 needs a stop above the $79,405/$79,711 dHigh, and the first real downside structure (VWAP, then dPOC/dVAL $78,700-78,732) does not clear 2:1 honestly against that invalidation. A minor developing-VAH wick with a bearish 5m delta divergence but no reaction quality is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 12:15 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5-minute wick-and-close-back at dVAH $79,381 — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and no 15-minute candle has closed rejecting the level (the 11:45 15m closed UP at $79,285 below the level, and the 12:00 15m is still FORMING). The only named-TF event is a 15m close back above VWAP $79,109, which points long, i.e. against the short the dVAH rejection would imply — so corroboration conflicts too: CVD is confirming_up, funding mildly positive, price one-time-framing up off the day low with higher highs/higher lows, while Delta 5m shows only a small bearish divergence. No confirmed trigger in either direction: watch for a 15m close.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 12:10 UTC
PassedThe trigger is a 15m reclaim close through daily VWAP ($79,105.3), but price is now at $79,314.9 — extended above the level, not at the retest, and above dVAH ($79,381.0) sits immediately overhead with dHigh $79,711.2 just beyond, so entering here is chasing the thrust. Corroboration is also mixed: 4h CVD confirms up and F&G is greedy, yet the 5m taker delta is a bearish divergence (-59.7 BTC) into this push and open interest is falling (short_covering -1.39% / -3.63%), i.e. the move up is shorts covering rather than new demand — a poor reaction quality for a long here. No clean level-reaction entry, so I pass rather than buy the extension.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 12:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level is daily VWAP $79,095 but no 15-minute candle has closed through or rejected it — the 11:30 UTC 15m close ($78,967.2) is entirely below VWAP and, per the level facts, contains no scanned level; only a 5m wick-and-close-under exists, which can never be the named trigger. Structure is also unclear: price is chopping in the middle of the developing day value area between dPOC $78,732 and dVAH $79,423 with no trend to join, while CVD bullish divergence and confirming-up 5m delta contradict a short at VWAP. No confirming 15m trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 11:50 UTC
PassedThe gate's pdVAH ($78,803) rejection is marginal at best — the 11:00 15m candle closed just $6 below pdVAH after wicking dPOC ($78,732.5) and closing back ABOVE it, i.e. the two levels in that candle give contradictory readings (bearish pdVAH loss vs bullish dPOC reclaim) and price is sitting mid-range between dVAL $78,632 / dPOC $78,732 and VWAP $79,100 — no clean location. STATE also shows pd_vah already fired and was attempted within the last 30 minutes, so I require a fresh, unambiguous 15m trigger rather than re-taking the same level. Delta/CVD confirming down while 4H closed up and the day is otherwise balanced inside the previous day's value area leaves the directional read uncorroborated.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 11:20 UTC
PassedThe 11:00 15m candle closed just $6 below pdVAH ($78,803) while simultaneously wicking below and reclaiming dPOC ($78,732.5) — a contradictory two-sided candle, not a clean break or a clean rejection of either level. Price is sitting mid-range between dVAL/dPOC ($78,632/$78,732) and VWAP ($79,102), with CVD/5m delta confirming down but a rising 4H structure and greed sentiment above — no corroborated directional read and no meaningful reaction quality (thin volume on the reclaim leg, OI falling into it = short covering, not trapped positioning). No level-reaction or with-trend trigger worth trading here.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 11:15 UTC
PassedNo 15-minute trigger exists: the last closed 15m candle (10:45 UTC, O 79,035.3 / C 78,864.5) contains no scanned level, and the gate's event is only a 5m wick-and-reclaim of the dPOC/dVAL cluster near $78,731 — a 5m close can corroborate but never stand as the named trigger. Structure is also conflicted: price rejected the day high 79,711 and is grinding back into the 78,732 dPOC after a 79,341 4H up-close, with 5m delta confirming down against a bullish 4H CVD divergence and falling open interest, so neither a level-reaction nor a clean with-trend continuation is confirmed. This is a watch at the developing POC/VAL, not an entry.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 11:06 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5-minute wick-and-reclaim of the developing dPOC ($78,732.5), but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book and the named-TF facts confirm the 10:45 15m close (78,864.5, closed down) contains no scanned level — so there is no 15-minute trigger at any tradeable level. Structure is also unhelpful: price rejected the dVAH/dHigh region (79,711) and has ground back down through VWAP ($79,111) with 5m delta confirming down, so the only mechanical read is a fade lower, yet dPOC/dVAL ($78,732/$78,632) and D-Open ($78,407) sit immediately beneath as support — fading momentum into support is forbidden, and a long here is a 5m-only reclaim against down-flow. No trigger, no clean location.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 11:05 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable this tick, so no 15-minute candle close can be named as a trigger — and the TRIGGER FACTS block gives me no closed candle to cite at any of the nearby levels (dVAL $78,733, VWAP $79,162.9, M-Open $78,511.5, D-Open $78,407.1). Price sits mid-structure between dVAL above and the day open/pdEQ cluster below with CCV not in play, so the read is unclear: candidates in reach but zero confirmation. No trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 10:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 15m close below daily VWAP ($79,175.6) — a thrust through, not a retest, and price at $79,058.5 is already the extension below it, so entering here is chasing. Corroboration also contradicts the short: CVD is confirming_up, 5m delta shows a bullish divergence into the flush, funding is only mildly positive and OI is falling (short covering, not trapped longs), while dVAL $79,011 sits right beneath as support — a continuation short into support is forbidden. No clean level-reaction or reclaim close exists yet.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 09:45 UTC
PassedThe gate fired a 15m close back below pdH $79,423.1 (and dPOC), which reads as a loss-of-level short trigger, but the corroboration is against it: CVD is confirming_up, 5m delta shows a bullish divergence into this dip, price has held above VWAP $79,178.8 all session with higher highs/higher lows on 1H/4H, and the day is building value above the prior day's VA — shorting into that is fading an intact intraday uptrend, and the only near support (VWAP/dVAL) is barely $200-400 below, so the honest R:R to any real objective (D-Open $78,407) is unattractive versus a stop above $79,711. No qualifying short setup; I hold the existing long rather than manufacture the counter-trade.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 09:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m candle that wicked below the developing dPOC ($79,456.5) and closed back above it — but the dPOC is mid-range fair value, not a strong, stop-rich level, and the method explicitly says not to open new positions at the POC. The 15m candle itself closed DOWN off the day high, and Delta 5m is confirming_down while price sits just under dVAH/dHigh, so the reaction quality is poor and the read is unclear (no clean long location, and a short into an in-progress uptrend with no rejection close at dVAH/pwPOC would be fading momentum). No corroborated level-reaction or with-trend retest exists here.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 09:15 UTC
PassedThe 08:30 15m candle only tagged pwPOC $79,706.5 / dHigh $79,711.2 with the very tip of its wick (high exactly $79,711.2) and closed $115 below — that is a marginal touch, not a stop-rich sweep of an obvious pre-existing level, and the fade is being taken into strongly aligned bullish flow (CVD confirming_up, 5m delta +144 BTC, price above VWAP $79,152 and rising off the day open, OI only mildly short-covering). Shorting here means fading momentum into a level the market has barely tested once, with the broader read (greed 66, day trending up from $78,402) contradicting the direction — corroboration is missing. No with-trend long trigger is available either: the last closed 15m is a down candle at the day's high, so a long would be chasing the extension rather than a retest.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:45 UTC
PassedThe 15m 08:15 candle closed THROUGH pdH ($79,423.1), dVAH and the D-nPOC $79,629.5 — a valid thrust trigger — but price at $79,646.8 is still at the extension/high of that trigger candle, not a retest; entering here is the chased trade the method forbids. Additionally STATE shows this exact level (naked_day_all_79629.5) already fired within the last 30 minutes, so I demand a fresh reaction, and the 5m volume into the high is climactic while OI is falling (short covering, -0.38% 4h), which weakens the break's quality. I want price back to the broken pdH/nPOC shelf before any long.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:35 UTC
PassedThe 08:15 15m candle closed THROUGH pdH $79,423.1, dVAH $79,371.0 and the D-nPOC $79,629.5 in one impulsive 238-BTC bar — that is confirmation, not an entry, and current price $79,630.4 sits at the very top of the thrust (dHigh $79,681.0) with no retest yet. Entering here would be the chased extension the method forbids; the only clean entry is a pullback into the trigger candle's body / the reclaimed pdH-dVAH shelf, which has not printed.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:30 UTC
PassedThe 15m 08:00 candle did wick above pdH $79,423.1 and close back below it (a nominal SFP shape), but the corroboration is against the short: the day is trending up (higher highs and higher lows off the 78,402 day low, price above daily VWAP $78,994 and above dPOC/dVAL), 4h CVD is confirming_up, funding is neutral at +0.0097% and OI is falling (short covering, not trapped longs building into the high) — that is a weak, low-quality sweep rather than a stop-rich trapped-long reversal. The only supporting signal is the 5m taker-delta divergence, and a divergence alone is never a trigger; a counter-trend short here would also be fading momentum into the developing day high with the first real support (VWAP) only ~$390 away against a stop above $79,488, which does not clear 2:1.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:15 UTC