PassedThe only fired level is the developing day POC ($86,485.5) — a mid-value, fair-value location in a brand-new session with just 12.9 BTC traded, and the method explicitly says not to open new positions at the POC (POC chop, 50/50). The 5m close below it is not a valid trigger (1m/5m closes may only corroborate), and the last CLOSED 15m candle (23:45) actually closed BACK ABOVE the dPOC and VWAP — i.e. the named-timeframe evidence points the opposite way to the 5m break, so there is no confirming 15m trigger in either direction. Flow is also unresolved: CVD confirming up and a strong daily +6.2% expansion versus a short CCV bias and flat 5m delta — conflicting signals with no clean level reaction.View thesis →
Sep 22, 2026, 00:05 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" is the day rolling over at the D-Open ($86,572.3), which is trivially the prior day's close — no genuine rejection or break-and-retest of a level, just a flat 15m candle closing exactly at the open with negligible volume (0.3 BTC) and flat 5m delta (+2.6 BTC/30m). Price sits mid-air between pdH/D-nPOC $87,357.8–$87,816.5 above and pdVAH $85,290 below, i.e. no tradeable level reaction; and the read is conflicted — daily/4H structure and CVD are strongly up (+6.71% impulse day, OI building) while CCV bias reads short. No confirming close, no clean location: pass.View thesis →
Sep 22, 2026, 00:00 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block naming a CLOSED 15-minute candle at any tradeable level — so the required confirming trigger is simply absent. Price at $86,407 sits in open space above dVAH ($85,288) and well below the D-nPOC↑ ($87,816.5) / dHigh ($87,357.8), i.e. not at a level, and the read is conflicted anyway: CCV bias is short while CVD shows bullish divergence and price is +6.4% on the day. Without a named 15m close I have no entry.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 23:45 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable, so I have no candles at all — and without candles there is no way to name a specific 15-minute close through or rejecting a level, which is the required trigger. Price at $86,623 is also in open space well above dVAH ($85,284) and VWAP ($84,125) and just under the developing day high/nPOC ($87,357/$87,816), so proximity alone is not a location. Missing element: the confirming trigger candle.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 23:15 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block accompanies this snapshot, so I cannot name a single closed 15-minute candle as a trigger — the confirming close is missing. Price at $86,386 also sits in open space between the dVAH ($85,280) it has already left behind and the D-nPOC above at $87,816.5 / dHigh $87,357.8, i.e. not at a tradeable level with a confirmed reaction. With CCV bias short against a +6.42% up-day and short-covering OI, the read is also unconfirmed, so this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 23:00 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable, so no 15-minute candle close can be named as a trigger — and the method requires a specific confirming close at the level, not proximity. Price at $86,586 sits in open space between the developing dVAH ($85,176) below and the day high / D-nPOC↑ ($87,357/$87,816) above, with no verified reaction candle at either. Additionally the read conflicts: CCV bias is short while CVD confirms up and price is +7% on the day — no clean setup.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 21:30 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable, so I have no 15-minute candle to name as a trigger — the required confirming close (through or rejecting a level) cannot be verified, and the TRIGGER FACTS block gives me nothing to cite. Price at $86,547 is also in open space between dVAH $85,168 and the day high/naked POC $87,357–87,816, with a short CCV bias against the +7.2% up-move and 5m delta fading price — conflicting signals on top of the missing trigger. No trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 21:15 UTC
PassedPrice action / candle data is unavailable this cycle, so no 15-minute trigger candle can be named — the mandatory confirming close is missing. Price at $86,914 is also sitting just under the developing day high ($87,357.8) and the D-nPOC above ($87,816.5) after a +7.3% vertical day, which is exactly the location where I may only trade a confirmed reaction, not proximity. With CCV short_bias against the up-move and no verifiable rejection or reclaim close, I stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 21:00 UTC
PassedPrice action data is unavailable, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute trigger candle at any level — and a named close is the mandatory trigger on this book. Price at $86,909 is also in open space between dVAH/VWAP below and the D-nPOC $87,816.5 above, with CCV short_bias conflicting with confirming_up CVD/delta and a +7% up day, so the read is not corroborated either way.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 20:45 UTC
PassedPrice action data is unavailable, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the confirming trigger is missing entirely. Price at $87,087 also sits in open space just under the developing day high ($87,357.8) and the D-nPOC above ($87,816.5), far extended above VWAP ($83,988) and dVAH ($85,118), i.e. nowhere near a tradeable level with a verified reaction. On top of that the CCV short bias conflicts with the strongly up-trending tape (CVD confirming up, +7.5% 24h), so the read is not corroborated in either direction.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 20:30 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable and no TRIGGER FACTS candle is shown, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the confirming trigger is missing. Price is sitting just under the developing day high ($86,868.5) after a +6.92% vertical day, which is an extreme, not a clean location, and the dev_high was already fired recently. No trade without a verified trigger close.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 20:15 UTC
PassedPrice action for all timeframes is unavailable this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the confirming trigger is missing, and TRIGGER FACTS/candles cannot be cited. Price sits at $86,530 just under the developing day high $86,868.5 (which already fired recently) and beneath the D-nPOC↑ $87,816.5, i.e. at an extreme after a +6.6% day, where only a reaction entry would be allowed and none is confirmed. CCV short_bias also conflicts with any continuation long here, so I stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 20:00 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing day high $86,868.5 — but that "high" IS the candle's own fresh extreme, made on the same 15m candle that printed it, so there is no pre-existing, stop-rich level that was swept: a fresh extreme with no prior structure above it is not a valid sweep-reclaim location. Everything else contradicts a short anyway: price is one-time-framing up on 1m/5m/15m/1h/4h, CVD confirming_up (+138 BTC), 5m taker delta confirming_up (+147 BTC), OI rising into the move (healthy_uptrend, new longs), funding benign at +0.0054%, and day +6.6% with value migrating far above yesterday's — fading momentum into that is exactly the forbidden trade. Long-side continuation is also not takeable here: the trigger candle's high IS the extreme, price at $86,527.7 has not pulled back into open space, and going long at a spiked fresh high is chasing.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 19:45 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable and no TRIGGER FACTS candle can be cited, so there is no confirming 15-minute close at any tradeable level — the trigger leg is missing outright. Price at $86,309 is also sitting in open air just under the developing day high ($86,427) and the D-nPOC above ($87,816.5), with nothing in reach that has reacted: the nearest tradeable location is either an untested naked POC above or the dVAH/day-open cluster far below. Entering on proximity alone into a +6.5% vertical day (greed 70, CCV short bias conflicting with confirming-up CVD and healthy-uptrend OI) would be exactly the chased trade the method forbids.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 19:30 UTC
PassedNo trigger can be named: the price-action block is unavailable and there is no TRIGGER FACTS 15-minute close I can cite at any level, so entry confirmation is missing entirely. Price at $86,030 is also in open space well above every tier-one level (dVAH $84,938, dPOC/D-Open ~$81,130-81,324) and just under the developing day high $86,283 — a spiked high, not a location where a fade is permitted, while the CCV short bias conflicts with any continuation long into that high.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC
PassedNo price action or candle data is available and there is no TRIGGER FACTS block, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute close through or rejecting any level — the confirming trigger is missing. Price at $85,908 is also in open space above dVAH $84,936 and below the developing day high $86,283/D-nPOC $87,816, with a short CCV bias contradicting any continuation long. Without a verified closed trigger candle this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 18:45 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided this tick and no TRIGGER FACTS candle is available, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute trigger at any level — the confirming close is missing. Price at $85,896 is also sitting just under the developing day high $86,283 in open space well above VWAP $83,611, with a short CCV bias contradicting any continuation long, so the read is unresolved in both directions.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 16:00 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block is present, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle close at any level — the confirming trigger is missing outright. Price at $85,854 is also mid-air between dVAH $84,782 and the developing day high $86,283, i.e. not at a tradeable level, and the signals conflict (CCV short_bias and short-covering OI against a +6.4% day with CVD confirming up). No trigger, no location, conflicting corroboration — pass.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 15:30 UTC
PassedNo price action was supplied this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that CLOSED through or rejected any level — the trigger leg is simply missing. Price at $86,155 sits just under the developing day/week high ($86,283) after a +6.9% vertical day, which is an extreme, not an in-between pullback location, so no continuation entry is permitted either. Delta 5m is flat and OI is merely short-covering on the 4h, so even the reaction quality into the high is unconfirmed.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 15:15 UTC