PassedThe 14:00 15m candle did close below pwVAL $83,388 and dPOC $83,420.5, but that is a close THROUGH the level with no retest — price at $83,330 is sitting just under it, not back at it, and the candle is a small-bodied inside-chop bar in a two-hour grind higher off $82,511, not a clean rejection. Corroboration is also mixed: 4h CVD reads confirming_up, OI is falling on short-covering (weak), and the 1m/15m structure since 09:00 has been higher lows — so the broader signals contradict a fresh short here rather than confirming it. No clean trigger plus contradicted read: pass.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 14:15 UTC
PassedThe only fired location is the developing POC ($83,420.5) — fair value, mid-range, exactly where the method says not to open new positions — and the two named 15m candles contradict each other: 13:45 closed down at $83,577.2 off a dVAH rejection while 13:30 closed up through dPOC. Signals are also split (4h CVD confirming up and greed sentiment vs 5m delta confirming down and short-covering OI), so there is no corroborated directional read; price is sitting on dPOC/VWAP in open space with no clean trigger at a tradeable edge (dVAH $83,755 above, dVAL $82,790 below).View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 14:10 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m close below pwVAL $83,388 — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the last CLOSED 15m candle (13:45 UTC) closed at $83,577.2, i.e. ABOVE pwVAL, rejecting dVAH but holding above dPOC. So there is no confirming 15-minute close through or rejecting pwVAL; the current 14:00 15m candle is still FORMING. The read is also mixed: 4h CVD confirming_up and price bouncing off the day low $82,511 against a 5m delta confirming_down and short-covering OI — no clean corroborated direction at this location.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 14:05 UTC
PassedNo trigger can be named: the price action block is unavailable this tick, so there is no 15-minute close I can cite through or in rejection of any tradeable level (price sits between VWAP $83,229 and dPOC $83,420 — mid-value, the no-trade zone by the method). Signals also conflict: 4h CVD confirming up and Greed sentiment against a bearish 5m delta divergence and short-covering OI, with CCV not in play. Proximity to dPOC/VWAP alone is not a setup.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 14:00 UTC
PassedThe 13:30 15m candle did close up through dVAH $83,535 / pwVAL $83,388, but a close THROUGH a level is confirmation, not an entry — price at $83,686.8 is sitting at the trigger candle's high ($83,771) extreme, not at the retest, so entering here is chasing the extension. Corroboration is also mixed: 5m taker delta is a bearish divergence (-34.2 BTC) into the new high, OI is falling on short-covering (-1.01% 4h) rather than new longs, and price is still below the D/W open $84,404 after a -1.26% day, so the up-move looks like a bounce off dLow into resistance rather than a confirmed reclaim.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 13:45 UTC
PassedThe only fired trigger is a 5m close through dVAH ($83,535) — a 5m close can never be the named trigger, and the last CLOSED 15m candle (13:15, C $83,486.9) closed below dVAH, so no 15m confirmation through the level exists; the 13:30 15m close reclaiming pwVAL/dPOC is a bullish level-reaction but price is now extended to $83,607 above it, so there is no retest to enter. Corroboration is also mixed: 5m taker delta shows a bearish divergence (-5.6 BTC) into this push, OI is falling on short covering, and the day is a lower-high/lower-low downtrend from D-Open $84,404 — a long here would be buying into the day's broken value edge without a clean 15m trigger.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 13:40 UTC
PassedThis exact level (dPOC $83,420.5) already fired within the last 30 minutes, so by rule I need a fresh trigger before re-engaging it; the 13:15 15m close through pwVAL/dPOC is also a close THROUGH, not a retest — price at $83,560 is the extension above the trigger, not a return to the broken level. Corroboration is mixed too: 5m delta is a bearish divergence (-12.4 BTC) into the push, OI is falling on short-covering, and the day is still making lower highs beneath the D-Open $84,404, so the reclaim is unconvincing quality-wise.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 13:35 UTC
PassedThe 15m close at 13:15 (and the forming 13:30 candle) reclaims pwVAL $83,388 and dPOC $83,420.5, but the trigger is a close THROUGH the level with no retest yet — price is already extended above at $83,617.6, and entering here is the chased extension, not the retest. Reaction quality is also weak: 5m taker delta is flat (-2.3 BTC over 30m) into the reclaim, open interest is falling (short_covering -0.93% on 4h), and the day remains in a lower-high/lower-low structure from $84,934.9, so the reclaim reads as short covering rather than fresh demand.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 13:30 UTC
PassedThe 13:00 15m candle closed back below dPOC $83,420.5 / pwVAL $83,388.0, but this is a weak, low-volume rejection inside a chop zone rather than a clean trigger: price is wedged between VWAP $83,201.6 just below and dVAH $83,525.0 just above, 5m delta is flat (+1.4 BTC), 4h CVD is confirming_up and OI shows short-covering — flow contradicts a short here, and the day's low $82,511.1 / dVAL $82,738.0 sits barely 600–800 below, so the honest short to a real objective offers poor reaction quality and sub-2:1 R:R against a stop above $83,585. No corroborated directional read: pass.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 13:15 UTC
PassedConflicting reads at pwVAL $83,388: the last CLOSED 15m (12:45) closed UP through pwVAL and dPOC (bullish reclaim), while the gate fired on a 5m close back below it — and a 5m close is never a valid trigger. So there is no named-timeframe trigger for the short, and the long reclaim is contradicted by the broader signals (4h CVD bearish divergence, 5m delta flat, OI falling on short-covering, price below day/week open $84,404 after a -1.6% day making lower highs/lows). No clean confirming 15m close in either direction plus poor reaction quality (tiny volume 2.4 BTC on the current push) = pass.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 13:05 UTC
PassedThe 12:45 15m candle did reclaim pwVAL ($83,388) and dPOC ($83,420.5) from below while wicking and closing back under dVAH ($83,525) — but those are conflicting triggers at the same candle (bullish reclaim of two levels, bearish rejection of a third), so no clean direction. Corroboration is also mixed: CVD shows bearish divergence and OI is falling on short-covering (weak fuel) against a bounce, while the tape is squeezing up off the dLow $82,511 and holding above daily VWAP $83,201 — plus 5m delta is flat (+3.6 BTC), a poor reaction at the dVAH rejection. Shorting a $124-wide rejection into a rising leg with VWAP/dPOC just below gives no honest 2:1 to any real level, and longing means fading the dVAH rejection into pwPOC/D-Open resistance. No clean setup — pass.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 13:00 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable this tick, so I have no candles at all — and the TRIGGER FACTS/candle record gives me no 15-minute close through or rejecting any level. Price is sitting right on daily VWAP ($83,199) between dPOC/dVAH ($83,420/$83,467) above and dVAL ($82,728) below, i.e. mid-value with no confirmed trigger; the method's second requirement (a named 15m confirming close) is missing entirely, so this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 12:45 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 15m wick-rejection at pwVAL $83,388 (close $83,312.6 back below), which structurally points short — but the corroboration contradicts it: CVD is confirming_up, the 5m taker delta is +65.2 BTC confirming_up into this push, the last 4H and 1H candles both closed up off the $82,511 low, and OI is falling (short covering) rather than trapping new longs. That is a weak, low-conviction rejection (tiny 26 BTC candle) against rising aggressive buying, and price is sitting on daily VWAP $83,198 / dPOC $83,420 — effectively mid-value, the exact "no new trades at the POC" zone. Missing leg: corroboration / reaction quality, so no trade.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 12:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on the table is the 12:00–12:15 15m candle wicking above pwVAL $83,388 / dPOC $83,420.5 and closing back below at $83,319.3 — a rejection at the level that would argue short. But corroboration is contradicted: that same candle reclaimed daily VWAP $83,197.2 on the close, Delta 5m is confirming_up (+73 BTC), and price is bouncing off the fresh session low $82,511 — so aggressive flow is fading the short, not confirming it, and a short here would be fading momentum right after a flushed low. The long side has no trigger at a tradeable level (a VWAP reclaim into overhead pwVAL/dPOC supply is a poor location), so I stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 12:15 UTC
PassedNo price action is available and the TRIGGER FACTS block shows no closed 15-minute candle I can name — so the mandatory confirming trigger is missing. I can only record a long here, and a long into a market with CVD confirming_down, funding neutral-positive, price below daily VWAP ($83,193) and beneath the developing dPOC/dVAH has no corroborated level-reaction: the developing dVAL ($82,696) / dLow ($82,511) are nearby but nothing has printed a reclaim close there. Missing trigger plus missing corroboration = pass.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 11:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on the board is a 15m close BELOW the developing VAL ($82,692) — a bearish rejection, and STATE already has an open short on this book with T1 booked, so no same-direction trade may be recorded. For the only permitted side (long) there is no trigger at all: no reclaim close back above dVAL, no sweep-and-reclaim of dLow $82,511.1, and 4h CVD is confirming_down with 1m/5m/15m structure making lower highs and lower lows — a long here would be fading an intact downtrend with no confirming close.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 10:15 UTC
PassedI already hold an open short on this book, so only a long may be recorded — and no long trigger exists. Price is one-time-framing lower (15m/1h lower highs and lower lows), CVD is confirming_down, and the most recent 15m close ($82,571.2, 09:45) rejected dVAL $82,692.0 from below rather than reclaiming it; the developing day low $82,511.1 has been swept but never reclaimed on a 15m close. A long here would be fading momentum into open space with no reclaim close — no trigger, and the bias contradicts it.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 10:11 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, but there is no long trigger: the 09:45 15m candle closed BELOW dVAL ($82,692) after wicking above it — a rejection at value-area-low from underneath, which is bearish, not a reclaim. Price is making lower highs/lower lows beneath VWAP ($83,200) with 4h CVD confirming_down and OI falling; a long here would be fading a live downtrend into the developing day low with no reclaim close of dVAL. Missing element: a confirming bullish trigger (no 15m close back above dVAL).View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 10:10 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no valid long trigger: the 15m close at 09:15 was a DOWN candle and price is making fresh session lows ($82,511 dLow) with dVAL $82,698 now being lost on the 5m — 5m delta is confirming_down (-30.6 BTC) and OI is in a strong 4h downtrend, so the dVAL reclaim-long read is contradicted, not corroborated. This level (dev_val) also already fired within the last 30 minutes, so any surviving long idea requires a fresh 15-minute reclaim close back above $82,698 that I do not have.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 09:35 UTC
PassedThe only trigger available is a 15m wick-and-close-back above dVAL $82,698 — a minor developing value-area edge, not a stop-rich pre-existing level, and it sits inside a clear intraday downtrend (day open $84,404 → fresh day low $82,511, lower highs all session) with Delta 5m reading confirming_down (-92.4 BTC) and flat open interest: a poor reaction, no trapped-short signature, no corroboration for a long. I also hold an open short on this book, so only a long could be recorded, and that long would be counter-trend into a level that has already been broken once this hour — I decline rather than fade the trend on a weak dev-VAL reclaim.View thesis →
Sep 28, 2026, 09:30 UTC