PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block is present, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle close at any level — the confirming trigger is missing outright. Price at $85,854 is also mid-air between dVAH $84,782 and the developing day high $86,283, i.e. not at a tradeable level, and the signals conflict (CCV short_bias and short-covering OI against a +6.4% day with CVD confirming up). No trigger, no location, conflicting corroboration — pass.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 15:30 UTC
PassedNo price action was supplied this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that CLOSED through or rejected any level — the trigger leg is simply missing. Price at $86,155 sits just under the developing day/week high ($86,283) after a +6.9% vertical day, which is an extreme, not an in-between pullback location, so no continuation entry is permitted either. Delta 5m is flat and OI is merely short-covering on the 4h, so even the reaction quality into the high is unconfirmed.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 15:15 UTC
PassedThe only fired "trigger" is the 15m candle whose high simply IS the developing day high ($85,943.4) — a new extreme it printed itself, not a sweep of a pre-existing, stop-rich level, so the SFP/failed-auction precondition (a defined level that existed before the move) is missing. Everything else contradicts a short here: price is impulsively one-time-framing up on the largest daily volume of the window (+6.45%), 4h CVD is confirming_up, funding is neutral, and the 24h OI backdrop is a healthy uptrend — fading momentum into a fresh high is exactly the forbidden trade. No with-trend continuation entry either: there has been no pullback into open space, and entering at the extension beyond the trigger candle's high would be the chased trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 14:45 UTC
PassedPrice action data is unavailable this cycle, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that CLOSED through or rejected any level — the required trigger is missing. Price at $85,605 sits just under the developing day high $85,793.8 with no confirmed rejection close, and the signals conflict (CCV short bias plus a 5m bearish delta divergence against confirming_up CVD, healthy rising OI and greed sentiment). No level-reaction, continuation, or sweep-reclaim trigger can be verified, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 14:30 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block accompanies this snapshot, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the confirming trigger is missing entirely. Price at $85,387 is also sitting in open space between dVAH $84,506 and the day high $85,793.8 after a +6% vertical day, with CCV short bias conflicting with confirming-up CVD, so the read is not corroborated either. Absence of a trigger is sufficient to pass.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 14:00 UTC
PassedNo price action is available this cycle, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle close as a trigger — and the absence of a confirmed trigger is by itself sufficient to pass. Price at $84,890 sits between the developing dVAH ($84,234, now below) and the developing day high ($85,441) with no verified rejection or reclaim close at either, and the signals conflict (CCV short_bias and short-covering OI against confirming_up CVD, bullish 5m delta and a +5.56% day). Proximity to the day high is not a setup.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 13:30 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable, so no 15-minute candle close can be named as a trigger — and the instructions forbid treating proximity or a snapshot reading as confirmation. Price at $85,225 sits just under the developing day high ($85,441) after a +6% vertical day, far above every settled tier-one level (pdH $81,432.9, pwVAH $81,893), so there is no level-reaction location in reach either. Signals also conflict: CCV short_bias and a bearish 5m delta divergence against confirming_up 4h CVD and a fresh uptrend high — missing trigger plus missing corroboration means pass.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 13:00 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable, so no 15-minute candle close can be named as a trigger — the TRIGGER FACTS/candle record shows nothing I can cite, and the method forbids entering on proximity alone. Price at $84,998 sits above dVAH ($83,968) and just under the developing day high ($85,441) after a +5.89% vertical day, which is an extreme, not a clean level location; the CCV short_bias also conflicts with any continuation long up here. Missing element: the confirming trigger close (and a defined level reaction).View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and the TRIGGER FACTS block shows no closed 15-minute candle I can name, so the required confirming trigger is missing — I cannot cite a close through or rejection at any level. Price at $84,994 is also sitting just under the developing day/week high ($85,269) after a +5.6% run, far above dVAH ($83,904) and VWAP ($82,860), i.e. in extension rather than at a clean level-reaction location, and the short CCV bias conflicts with the confirming-up CVD/delta. No trigger, no clean location — pass.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 12:15 UTC
PassedNo price action is available this tick — the candle series is missing entirely, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute close as a trigger at any level (dVAH $83,612, dHigh $85,269 or VWAP $82,576). A level in reach is only a candidate; with no verifiable confirming close, the trigger requirement fails and I pass. Signals are also mixed (CCV short_bias vs CVD confirming_up and +5.2% day), which would demand an unusually clean trigger to trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 10:00 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" is the developing day high itself being printed — the 15m candle that closed 09:30 made the high and closed just $158 under it, which is not a swept pre-existing level (a fresh extreme with no prior structure above it is explicitly not a valid sweep-reclaim location), and it is not a rejection of anything defined. Everything else corroborates strength, not weakness: 1m/5m/15m in a clean impulse from $81.6k, CVD confirming_up, 5m delta +77.4 BTC, OI +2.09% on the 4h leg, price above VWAP $82,262 and dVAH $82,966 — so fading this spike into a fresh high is exactly the forbidden trade, and the CCV short_bias does not licence a short at the extreme. A with-trend long is equally unavailable: there has been no pullback, price IS the extension, and entering here at the trigger candle's extreme is the chased entry the method forbids. No clean trigger at a tradeable level = pass.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 09:30 UTC
PassedThe 15m trigger (08:15 close through pwVAH/VWAP/dVAH at ~81,893–81,944) is a valid bullish breakout close, but price has since vertically extended $1,800 to the day high 84,200 with no pullback — entering here is the chased extension, not the retest, and the method forbids entry at or beyond the trigger candle's extreme. The D-nPOC $82,837.5 reclaim was a 5m close only, never a 15m trigger, and CCV bias reads short against a long anyway. I want price back into the trigger body / the flipped pwVAH-VWAP shelf before committing.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 08:41 UTC
PassedThe 15m trigger that closed (08:15 UTC, through pwVAH/dVAH/VWAP) is a close THROUGH the level, and price has since extended nearly $1,600 above it to the day high at $84,200 with a vertical 616 BTC 15m impulse — entering here is the extension, not the retest, which this method forbids. The D-nPOC $82,837.5 break is only a 5m close (never a valid named trigger) and price is already well beyond it with no pullback. Additionally the CCV bias reads short_bias against this long, and there is no confirmed lower-timeframe reversal structure to justify a counter-bias short into a vertical melt-up either — so I wait for price to return to the broken level.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 08:40 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 1m wick at the developing day high $82,223.9 — but a 1m close is never a trigger on this book, and the named-timeframe 15m candle (08:15 close) closed UP through pwVAH $81,893 / pwH $81,894.7 at the highs, i.e. the 15m structure is a breakout close, not a rejection. So the short trigger I would need (a 15m close back below the day high after a sweep) has not printed. The bullish read is also unentered: price is sitting AT the extension/day high with no retest of the broken pwVAH, and entering here would be chasing the spike — and it is contradicted by the snapshot's short_bias CCV. Missing element: a confirming 15m close, in either direction.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 08:30 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m wick-and-close-back below pwVAH $81,893, but a 5m close is never a valid named trigger — the last CLOSED 15m candle (07:45 UTC, C $81,664.7) printed well below the level and rejected nothing; the 08:00–08:15 15m candle that is actually probing pwVAH is still FORMING. So the short has no confirming 15m trigger yet. A long is equally blocked: the 08:00 15m reclaim of pdH/VWAP/pmH is a with-trend close, but price is now AT pwVAH / pwH resistance ($81,893/$81,894.7), not in open space, and the CCV short_bias contradicts a long here — chasing into that level is the forbidden trade.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 08:10 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m close above dVAH $81,742 — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger, and the 15m candle in that window (07:45 close, C $81,664.7) closed BELOW the dVAH, so no named-timeframe trigger through the level has printed; the 08:00 15m candle is still FORMING. Additionally, price at $81,772 is sitting right at the developing day VAH and just under the day high $82,078 / pwVAH $81,893 while the CCV bias reads short_bias — a long here would be buying into resistance against the bias, and the only 15m close I could cite (pdH/VWAP reclaim) is already extended well below current price, so entering now would be chasing rather than a retest.View thesis →
Sep 21, 2026, 08:05 UTC