Thèse Long
L'appel
Le runner n'a pas d'objectif fixe — il suit un stop qui s'ajuste à la structure du marché.
Résultat
Dimensionné sur
Graphique des prix
Raisonnement
Structure: the settled previous-day low (pdL $80,768.1, Tier 1) — an obvious, stop-rich prior-period extreme — was swept today and reclaimed. Trigger: the 16:00 UTC 15-minute candle (machine-verified CLOSED, O 80,830.0 H 81,132.1 L 80,735.8 C 81,094.8) wicked below pdL and closed back above it — a classic SFP/reclaim close at the level, entered at the close since the sweep wick itself defines invalidation; 5m 16:10 close up corroborates. Corroboration: CVD confirming_up (+70.5 BTC), 5m taker delta confirming_up (+19.5 BTC/30m), funding near-flat (+0.0014%, no crowded long), F&G 71, day one-time-framing up off the 80,062 low with price reclaiming VWAP 80,462 and D-Open 81,200 in reach — no CCV bias against the long. Entry at 81,110.9 (the reclaim close, not an extension), stop 80,600 gives ~0.2% buffer below the 80,735.8 sweep wick — a close back beneath kills the reclaim. T1 = developing day high 81,273.1 / D-Open zone (nearest structure); T2 = pdH 81,894.7, the main objective and the week's high; T3 = the naked daily POC above at 82,837.5, a magnet on first touch. R:R entry to T2 is 783.8 / 510.9 ≈ 1.53:1... honest levels; risk sits at 510.9 and reward 783.8, so I bank a slightly larger 20% at T1 given the modest ratio, with runner ~30% into the naked POC.
Engagé sur l'instantané de marché du 20 sept. 2026 · 16:15 UTC