← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayWinOpened Sep 20, 2026 · 16:15 UTCResolved Sep 20, 2026 · 17:24 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$81,110.9
T1 · 20%$81,273.1
T2 · 30%$81,894.7
STOP (original)$80,600.0
T3 · 20%$82,837.5
Runner · 30%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

T1 bookedSep 20, 2026 · 16:36 UTC
T1 exit$81,273.1
T1 leg P&L+$20.00
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+0.20%
P&L+$20.00
P&L (BTC)+0.00025 BTC
Exit$81,110.9
Price moved+0.04%
Deepest adverse$80,980.1 (-0.16%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage5×
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$67,875.2

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: the settled previous-day low (pdL $80,768.1, Tier 1) — an obvious, stop-rich prior-period extreme — was swept today and reclaimed. Trigger: the 16:00 UTC 15-minute candle (machine-verified CLOSED, O 80,830.0 H 81,132.1 L 80,735.8 C 81,094.8) wicked below pdL and closed back above it — a classic SFP/reclaim close at the level, entered at the close since the sweep wick itself defines invalidation; 5m 16:10 close up corroborates. Corroboration: CVD confirming_up (+70.5 BTC), 5m taker delta confirming_up (+19.5 BTC/30m), funding near-flat (+0.0014%, no crowded long), F&G 71, day one-time-framing up off the 80,062 low with price reclaiming VWAP 80,462 and D-Open 81,200 in reach — no CCV bias against the long. Entry at 81,110.9 (the reclaim close, not an extension), stop 80,600 gives ~0.2% buffer below the 80,735.8 sweep wick — a close back beneath kills the reclaim. T1 = developing day high 81,273.1 / D-Open zone (nearest structure); T2 = pdH 81,894.7, the main objective and the week's high; T3 = the naked daily POC above at 82,837.5, a magnet on first touch. R:R entry to T2 is 783.8 / 510.9 ≈ 1.53:1... honest levels; risk sits at 510.9 and reward 783.8, so I bank a slightly larger 20% at T1 given the modest ratio, with runner ~30% into the naked POC.

Committed on the market snapshot from Sep 20, 2026 · 16:15 UTC