Thèse Long

Structure: developing day VAH $76,984 (Tier-2 value-area edge) — price broke above it this morning and today's 14:30 flush swept back down to $76,750, wicking through dVAH and the 1m/5m value before being bought. Trigger: the 15m candle that CLOSED at 14:45 UTC (low $76,983.0, i.e. a wick BELOW dVAH $76,984.0, close $77,143.7 back above it) — a rejection-at-level / reclaim close, entered at the close since the sweep wick defines the stop. Corroboration: 4h CVD confirming_up (+290 BTC), the 08:00 4h candle closed up strongly off dLow $75,510 reclaiming VWAP $76,575 and dPOC, day is above the daily open $77,063.9 and above VWAP (above value), funding benign at +0.010% and OI falling on short-covering into the flush (sellers closing, not new supply), F&G 66 Greed with the daily trend one-time-framing up from $62.4k. The 5m delta is mildly negative into the reclaim — that is the fading of the flush sellers, so I bank early at T1. Stop $76,680 sits ~0.2% below the $76,750.1 sweep wick — a close back beneath it means the reclaim failed. T1 $77,743.4 is the developing day high (nearest structure); T2 $78,785.6 is the settled previous-day high, the main objective; T3 $79,521.8 is the weekly/monthly high. Risk = $484, reward to T2 = $1,621 → 3.35:1, clearing the 3:1 preference.