← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayWinOpened Aug 23, 2026 · 15:00 UTCResolved Aug 24, 2026 · 00:46 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$77,164.4
T1 · 20%$77,743.4
T2 · 25%$78,785.6
STOP (original)$76,680.0
T3 · 20%$79,521.8
Runner · 35%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

T1 bookedAug 23, 2026 · 21:16 UTC
T1 exit$77,743.4
T1 leg P&L+$75.03
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+0.75%
P&L+$75.03
P&L (BTC)+0.00097 BTC
Exit$77,164.4
Price moved+0.15%
Deepest adverse$76,891.3 (-0.35%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$64,572.7

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: developing day VAH $76,984 (Tier-2 value-area edge) — price broke above it this morning and today's 14:30 flush swept back down to $76,750, wicking through dVAH and the 1m/5m value before being bought. Trigger: the 15m candle that CLOSED at 14:45 UTC (low $76,983.0, i.e. a wick BELOW dVAH $76,984.0, close $77,143.7 back above it) — a rejection-at-level / reclaim close, entered at the close since the sweep wick defines the stop. Corroboration: 4h CVD confirming_up (+290 BTC), the 08:00 4h candle closed up strongly off dLow $75,510 reclaiming VWAP $76,575 and dPOC, day is above the daily open $77,063.9 and above VWAP (above value), funding benign at +0.010% and OI falling on short-covering into the flush (sellers closing, not new supply), F&G 66 Greed with the daily trend one-time-framing up from $62.4k. The 5m delta is mildly negative into the reclaim — that is the fading of the flush sellers, so I bank early at T1. Stop $76,680 sits ~0.2% below the $76,750.1 sweep wick — a close back beneath it means the reclaim failed. T1 $77,743.4 is the developing day high (nearest structure); T2 $78,785.6 is the settled previous-day high, the main objective; T3 $79,521.8 is the weekly/monthly high. Risk = $484, reward to T2 = $1,621 → 3.35:1, clearing the 3:1 preference.

Committed on the market snapshot from Aug 23, 2026 · 14:55 UTC