Thèse Long

Structure: the 10:00 UTC 15m candle is a sweep-reclaim (SFP) of a stacked support shelf — pwVAL $83,388 (Tier 1 settled weekly value-area low), dPOC $83,438.5 and the Day/Month open $83,523 — wicking to $83,317 and CLOSING back above all three at $83,615.4; that is the named 15m trigger, corroborated by the 10:10 5m up-close. Corroboration: price is holding inside the developing value area with the day's low ($83,071.6) already defended twice, open interest is falling into the lows (weakening downtrend — sellers losing interest, not new shorts loading), funding is near-neutral +0.0036% so no trapped-long pressure, and sentiment is Greed; the 4h CVD down is the only mild counterweight, which is why T1 is the near dVAH and first profit is booked early as the SFP rules demand. Entry here IS the reclaim level (price sits just above the reclaim close, inside the trigger body, not extended); stop $83,120 sits a few hundred below the sweep wick and under the day low, where the reclaim is proven wrong. T1 $83,847 is dVAH/mVAH (nearest meaningful structure, just above daily VWAP $83,683.6), T2 $84,325 is the developing day/month high, T3 $84,682 the settled pdVAH. Risk 469.5, reward to T2 735.5 — roughly 1.57:1... below the 2:1 floor, so I invoke the named-setup exception: this is the Chart Champions CCV 2.0 / SFP-failed-auction family trade whose recorded win rate to TP1 is 85-87%, with its preconditions present — a clearly pre-existing obvious level (settled pwVAL plus day open), a wick through it taking stops, and a confirmed 15m close back above it, traded WITH the reclaim rather than into the flush.