Thèse Long

Structure: previous-week VAL $76,970 — a Tier-1 settled value level — was swept down to $76,603.8 (also the developing day/week low) and reclaimed. Trigger: the 15m candle that closed 14:00 UTC (O $76,883.2 L $76,858.2 C $77,118.0) opened below pwVAL and CLOSED back above it — a sweep-reclaim/SFP reclaim close on the named 15m timeframe, corroborated by the 13:55 5m close back above and the 1H 13:00 close up. Corroboration: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance armed (day opened below pdVAL and price is rotating back toward value), open interest rising into the flush (+0.83% 4h) = trapped shorts below pwVAL, funding only mildly positive, F&G 69; the 4h CVD confirming_down and 5m bearish divergence are the counter-signals, which is why first profit is banked early and heavier at T1. Entry here is the reclaim close itself with the sweep wick defining risk; stop $76,450 sits ~0.2% beyond the $76,603.8 sweep low. T1 = dVAL $77,632 (nearest structural edge, just under daily VWAP $77,764.8), T2 = developing dPOC $78,304.5 / D-Open $78,265.6 cluster — the main objective. Risk = $713.5, reward to T2 = $1,141 → 1.60:1... below 2:1, so I invoke the named-setup exception: this is the CCV setup (open outside prior value, acceptance back inside, rotation across value), a stated ~80% probability setup, and it is WITH the snapshot's long CCV bias, not against it. T3 = pdPOC/D-nPOC↑ $78,733.5, the untested naked POC magnet above; runner 30%.