Thèse Long

Structure: settled previous-day LOW $79,411.5 (Tier 1) — an obvious, stop-rich level — was swept by the 14:30 flush to $79,161 and price reclaimed. Trigger: the 15m candle that CLOSED at 15:00 UTC wicked BELOW pdL to $79,350.2 and CLOSED back above at $79,498.6 — a textbook SFP reclaim close of a prior-period extreme (5m 15:10 close up corroborates, it is not the trigger). Corroboration: 4h CVD shows bullish divergence (+15.8 BTC) against the new low, 5m taker delta is flat (-1.2 BTC) refusing to confirm the lower price, open interest is a weakening downtrend (-0.61% 4h / -2.48% 24h — sellers losing interest into the low), funding is benign at +0.0042%, and the flush candle carried the day's outsized volume (71.3 BTC on 14:30) i.e. real liquidity taken at the level. Stop $79,180 sits just under the sweep wick ($79,161) with ~0.2% buffer as the method requires; entry is the reclaim close itself, which is where the wick defines invalidation. T1 $79,673 is the developing dVAL / nearest structural edge and prior-day VAL zone; T2 $79,869.5 is the developing dPOC (main objective, also just above VWAP $79,749.9 and D-Open $79,799.5); T3 $80,082.4 is the developing day high. R:R entry→T2 = $370.9 reward vs $318.6 risk ≈ 1.16:1 — inside the 1:1–2:1 band, so I invoke the named-setup exception below. T1 fraction raised to 0.25 because CCV bias is short and this reclaim is counter to that bias — a named counter-signal reason to bank more early.