Thèse Long

Structure: the developing dVAH ($78,154) sitting directly on the settled pdEQ ($78,144.7) — a tier-two dev value edge stacked with a tier-one previous-day equilibrium, so the higher-tier pdEQ is the real location. Trigger: the 15m candle that CLOSED at 15:15 UTC wicked BELOW that confluence to $78,142.6 and closed back above it at $78,365.6 — the wick-and-close-back rejection AT the level, entered at the close per method, with the wick itself defining invalidation (stop $77,980, given real room below the wick and beneath the dPOC/VWAP shelf at $77,987/$77,993). Corroboration: CCV bias long, CVD showing a bullish divergence (+47.2 BTC), price holding above daily VWAP and D/W open ($77,650), day value migrating up off the $77,317 low, funding benign at +0.0085% and OI flat (no crowded longs to trap), sentiment Greed 62; only the flat 5m delta is neutral rather than confirming. T1 $78,626.9 is the last swing high / day-high shelf; T2 $78,891.5 is the naked pdPOC and pwPOC cluster above — the main objective and a classic first-touch magnet; T3 $79,351.9 is the settled previous-day high. Risk:Reward entry→T2 ($525.9) against entry→stop ($385.6) is about 1.36:1, so I invoke the named-setup exception: this is the CCV/80%-rule class reclaim — the day opened outside prior-day value ($77,650 open below pdVAL $77,697) and price has since accepted back inside prior-day value above pdVAL and now reclaimed pdEQ, with the swing-failure fake-out of the local low as the CCV 2.0 entry trigger, whose stated win rate to TP1 is 85-87%; TP1 is banked early per the material and the stop moves to breakeven on that book.