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Price broke down through pdLow ($62,817.8) and the M-Open ($62,792.1) on the 21:30/22:00 15m candles, but the most recent CLOSED 15m (22:00, O 62,830.7 H 62,830.7 L 62,675.5 C 62,826.5) closed right back ON pdLow/M-Open — an ambiguous doji-ish reaction, not a clean reclaim close back above the level nor a clean close through it, and both those levels already fired recently. Reaction quality is poor: the flush low 62,645.9 came on modest volume, 5m delta is flat (+51 BTC) with no impulsive response, OI is falling (-1.03% 4h) so this is position-closing not new money, and CVD is confirming_down while price sits at support — signals conflict rather than corroborate. No qualifying trigger: I need either a decisive 15m close back above pdLow/M-Open (long reclaim) or a 15m close and retest below the 62,645.9 low (short continuation) before committing.
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