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The break of pdL $62,744.2 is only a 5m close (09:25) — the named trigger must be a 15m close, and while the 09:15 15m closed at $62,704.0 it did so on almost no volume (2.2 BTC) with 5m delta flat (-0.2 BTC/30m), i.e. a poor reaction: no delta response, no OI expansion (4h OI -1.09%, weakening downtrend). Price is also sitting on the developing dLow $62,592.8 / mVAL $62,390 support cluster, so a fresh continuation short here would be fading momentum into support, which is forbidden; and no reclaim close back above pdL has printed for the long side either. Missing element: a corroborated trigger with acceptable reaction quality.

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