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The fired trigger is a 15m close $37 below the developing POC on 1.5 BTC of volume — a dead, holiday-thin tape drifting sideways in a $60 band for the last two hours, not a real level reaction. Reaction quality fails outright: no delta response (Δ 5m flat, -0.8 BTC / 30m), negligible volume into the level, and price is sitting on top of dVAL $63,278 / wVAL $63,281 support with the 16:30 flush low $62,744 just beneath — shorting a micro-close through a developing POC directly into that support is fading momentum into a strong level, which the method forbids. No corroborated directional read either: OI flat, funding neutral +0.01%, CVD bearish divergence but price refused to break down.

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