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The fired trigger is a marginal one: the 10:15 15m candle is a tiny 0.7 BTC-volume doji that poked $4 above VWAP and closed $55 back below it — a rejection in name only, with no volume, no delta response and price still pinned between VWAP $63,583.8, pdPOC $63,547.5 and dVAL $63,464.0 in the middle of a balanced developing value area. That is POC/mid-range chop, not a trade location, and a short here would be fading into the developing day low $63,281.3 / pdL $63,200.0 support cluster only ~$250 away, so R:R to any honest T2 is under 1:1. With one loss already on this book I need a cleaner location and a real reaction, not a two-dollar wick.
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