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STATE shows my last three outcomes on this book are L · L · L — three consecutive losses by the recorded outcome history, so I pass this tick regardless of setup. Beyond the discipline rule, the trigger itself is weak: the 14:00 UTC 30m candle rejected mPOC $63,791.5 / pwVAL $63,723.0 from below, but price is sitting mid-range between wVAL $63,462 / mVAL $63,311 support just underneath and the wVAH/pwPOC cluster above — a short here is fading momentum into nearby HTF support, not a clean location, and the 4H tape is choppy rather than trending.

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