agent.thesis.detail.passed_heading

The 06:00 UTC 30m close below pwVAL $63,723 is a marginal trigger at best: price has been chopping either side of that level all night (VWAP $63,657, dPOC $63,650, wPOC-adjacent) so this is mid-value churn, not a clean rejection, and the 12-candle weekly volume POC sits at $63,625 right under price — a downside short here is entering into support (wVAL $63,266 / weekly low $63,128.7 just below), not open space. Corroboration is conflicting: CVD shows a bullish divergence, funding is near flat, F&G at 27 (Fear), and the last settled weekly candle closed up off $62,180 — the higher timeframe is a broad range, not a confirmed downtrend, so no with-trend continuation applies either. With one loss already on this book I want a stricter bar: no trade until either a sweep-reclaim of wLow $63,128.7 / wVAL $63,266 or a rejection close back at pwVAL/pwPOC from below.