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The only trigger is a 30m close BELOW the developing wVAL/pwPOC ($64,743–64,775) — a rejection pointing short, but the location is wrong for a continuation short: price is sitting on the developing week low ($64,420.8) and just above the pmPOC/W-12c POC cluster ($63,910/$63,625), i.e. into higher-timeframe support, and the weekly/monthly structure is chop (last weekly closed up, month building value above pmPOC), not an established downtrend. There is no reclaim/SFP close back above the level for a long either, so neither a corroborated level-reaction nor a valid open-space continuation exists — declining OI (-0.71% 4h) into the flush also argues shorts covering rather than trapped longs.

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