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The 13:00 15m candle is a marginal rejection of D-Open/W-Open ($64,813.6) — a $9 wick above and a close $15 below — while price is simultaneously sitting on pwPOC $64,775.5 and the developing day low $64,748.8, i.e. a strong support cluster directly beneath. That makes a short here a fade of momentum into support (forbidden), and a long has no reclaim trigger: no 15m close back above D-Open. Reaction quality is also poor — Delta 5m is flat (-0.3 BTC), OI is only bleeding (shorts covering, no trapped-trader build) and the tape is choppy, not trending.

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