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The trigger is a 30m close below the developing week VAL ($64,989) — but that is a minor, in-flight intraday level sitting in the middle of a tight $64,748–$65,445 balance area, i.e. mid-range, not a strong HTF location, and it is the second attempt at that band this session. The broader read also contradicts a short: bullish CVD divergence, OI falling (short covering, not trapped longs), price still above the month POC $64,880 / pwPOC $64,775 / weekly and monthly opens, and the weekly candle closed up — no established downtrend for a continuation and no swept-and-reclaimed HTF level for a reversal. Missing element: a higher-timeframe level worth trading plus corroboration; the honest short target (wLow $64,748 / pwPOC $64,775) is only ~$120 away against a stop above $65,320, well below the 1:1 floor.
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