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The gate fired on a 5m close below dVAL $64,385 — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the 15m candle that matters (18:15 close $64,420.6) closed ABOVE dVAL, with the 18:30 15m candle still FORMING. So there is no confirming 15-minute close through or rejecting the level. Flow is also unsupportive of a short: 4h CVD is confirming_up, 5m delta is flat (-2.5 BTC, no aggressive response at the level), and OI is drifting lower — a poor reaction, not a break. Watch for a 15m close below $64,385 and then trade the backtest.
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