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The gate fired on a 5m wick/close under the developing dVAL ($64,367) — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the most recent CLOSED 15m candle (13:30) is an up candle that swept the day low $64,067.9 and closed back up at $64,293.8, i.e. structure is pointing the opposite way to the fired short location. There is no 15m close through or rejecting dVAL, and the signals conflict (4h CVD confirming down and OI weakening versus 5m delta confirming up +48.6 BTC into the bounce off the day low). No confirming 15m trigger, so this is a watch — and with one loss already on the book today I need the stricter read.

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