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The fired trigger is a marginal 30m wick above pmPOC $63,910.5 with a close back below — but this is an internal, mid-range poke, not a swept obvious HTF extreme: the 30m candle only exceeded the level by ~$60 on 43 BTC of volume, price has already traded above pmPOC repeatedly this session (wHigh/mHigh $64,163.5 sits above it, untaken liquidity), and the daily/weekly VAH cluster $63,778–$63,985 is being probed rather than rejected. With 2 consecutive losses on this book I need a stricter read, and corroboration is missing/conflicting: OI is in a healthy uptrend, funding only +0.01%, CVD confirming_up and the 4H structure has been making higher lows off $62,180 — all of which argue against a short here, while a long would be fading nothing and sits mid-range at the POC (no trade at POC). No clean setup.
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