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The 17:15 15m candle did wick $63,981.6 above the developing dVAH/pmPOC and close back below at $63,730.1, but this is a marginal SFP at a location I do not want to fade: price is in a strong impulsive up-leg (12:00 4H closed up 1,140 pts on 1,460 BTC), CVD is confirming_up, 5m delta is confirming_up (+27.4 BTC), OI is building in a healthy uptrend and the day is grinding higher above VWAP $63,182 — every broader signal contradicts the short, so confluence (condition c) is missing. The nearest downside structure (dPOC $63,672 / D-Open $63,460) is also only ~$60–270 away against a stop above $63,981, giving sub-1:1 R:R to any honest T2, so the trade does not exist.

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