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The fired "trigger" is a marginal one: the 19:30 30m candle wicked $11 above the developing month VAH ($63,377) and closed $18 below it — that is noise inside a two-day balance, not a genuine rejection of a stop-rich HTF level, and the mVAH is a still-developing (unsettled) level only two days into the month. Broader signals also conflict with a short: CVD is confirming up, the day is building value above the prior day's VAH/POC and above daily VWAP, and OI is flat — no trapped longs. With two consecutive losses on this book I require a stricter read than usual, and this does not clear it; I would want a settled level (pmPOC $63,910 / pwPOC $64,114 above, wVAL $62,748 / mVAL $62,782 below) with a decisive 30m close.

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