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The fired trigger is a $1.30 close through the developing weekly VAL ($63,072.0 vs close $63,070.7) — a nominal, non-committal break with 3 BTC of volume, not a genuine rejection or acceptance close, and the same level is also the 30m/4H value edge price has chopped either side of all morning. With 2 consecutive losses on this book I must apply a stricter bar, and there is no corroborating structure: the 4H tape is sideways/balancing above the monthly POC ($62,909) and mVAH ($63,048) just below, funding is flat, OI is falling (short covering, not new supply), so a short here would be fading into monthly-level support rather than trading a level reaction. No valid trigger, no corroboration — pass.
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