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Two consecutive losses on this book means I only take setups clearing a stricter bar, and this does not. The fired level is the developing weekly VAL at $63,072 — a soft, in-flight level, and the "trigger" is a marginal 30m close 29 dollars below it on 14.8 BTC with the monthly VAH ($63,048) / mPOC ($62,909) stack immediately underneath as support, i.e. a short into HTF support rather than open space. The 4H tape is choppy (higher low $62,185.8 then a $63,539.7 push, price above the monthly open and near daily VWAP), so there is no established downtrend to join and no corroborated directional read — only funding mildly positive and OI drifting lower, which is shorts/longs both bleeding, not a trapped-long signal.
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