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The fired level (developing month VAL $62,897) is a one-day-old, in-flight level with no real HTF weight — the month has barely a day of data, so its VAL/POC/VAH are all clustered within $120 of each other and are not a tradeable structural location. The only trigger is a small down close beneath it, which is momentum into the developing month/day low ($62,714–62,742) and toward the weekly low $62,341 — i.e. fading into support rather than a clean level-reaction, and there is no with-trend continuation case in open space either. With two consecutive losses on this book I need a stricter bar than usual, and a mid-value 30m drift with flat OI, mild positive funding and a stated CCV long_bias contradicting a short does not meet it.
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