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The 14:00 30m candle did close below the developing wVAL ($63,142) and through pmPOC ($62,700.5), but that is momentum breaking INTO higher-timeframe support — pmPOC $62,700.5 / mVAL $62,390 / week low $62,341.4 all sit right here, and price closed at the low of a 877-BTC flush. Shorting into that cluster is fading momentum into a strong HTF support, which is forbidden, and there is no reclaim close back above the level for the reversal long. With two consecutive losses on this book the bar is stricter, and Extreme Fear (25) plus flat OI gives no corroboration either way — no clean trigger at a tradeable location, so I wait for either a reclaim close back above $63,142 or acceptance below $62,341 with a proper pullback.

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