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The fired trigger is a 15m close ($64,226.5) marginally below pdVAL $64,264.0 — but that "break" is a $37 close on 19 BTC in dead Asian hours, with price still chopping inside a $64,085–$64,355 band it has held for two hours; a close through a level is confirmation, not an entry, and there is no backtest of pdVAL to enter on. Corroboration is also poor: delta 5m is flat (+2 BTC), OI is falling (-2.5%, shorts covering, not new sellers), funding neutral, and dVAL/dLow $64,085 sits only ~$140 below — i.e. a short here would be fading momentum straight into support, which the method forbids. With one loss already on this book today the bar is stricter, and this is a low-volume, no-reaction level interaction: pass.
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