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The fired trigger is a 15m wick-above/close-below the developing POC at $64,052.5 — but that is a mid-value, fair-value location (price is sandwiched between dVAL/VWAP/D-open ~$63,880-63,960 below and dVAH $64,263 above), i.e. exactly the POC chop the method says is a 50/50 no-trade zone. The reaction is also poor: tiny volume on the rejection candle, 5m delta is confirming UP (+28.7 BTC) against a short read, and 4h OI is only short-covering (-0.65%), so there is no corroboration for a downside fade. With one consecutive loss on this book, a mid-range dev-POC rejection with contradicting flow and no room to a meaningful T2 does not clear the bar.

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