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Two consecutive losses on this book means I need a stricter-than-usual read, and this does not clear it: the 16:30 30m close below the developing month POC ($63,916.5) is a rejection in the middle of a two-week $62,640–$65,645 balance, with price sitting right on pwVAL $63,652 / W-12c POC $63,625 — i.e. short into support, not open space, and no reclaim or sweep trigger there. Structure is choppy rather than trending (last weekly candle closed up, monthly VAL $62,390 just below), so a continuation short would be fading momentum into a strong HTF level, and the honest T2 (pmPOC $62,700) against a stop above $64,650 fails the 2:1 floor. No clean confluence — pass and wait for either an SFP of the $62,640 weekly low or a rejection back at wVAH/pwVAH.

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