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Two consecutive losses on this book means I need a stricter-than-usual read, and this doesn't come close: the trigger is a 30m close $31 below the developing month POC ($63,885.9 vs $63,916.5) — a marginal loss of a mid-range, still-developing level with price sitting between wVAL $63,250 and wPOC/wVAH $64,338–64,615, i.e. the middle of a week-long balance, not a strong HTF edge. The higher-timeframe tape is ranging (4H chopping 62.6k–65.6k, last weekly closed up), so there is no established trend to join and no swept level reclaimed, while funding is flat and OI is only drifting — no corroboration for a fresh short. Trading the middle of the range on a $31 close is exactly the poor-location entry to avoid.
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