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The 30m trigger just closed BELOW the developing wVAL ($64,947) — a bearish break-down close, not a reclaim. But the location is wrong for a short: price is sitting right at a dense cluster of higher-timeframe support (developing wVAL $64,947, pwPOC $64,637.5, week open $64,650, W-nPOC↓ $60,356 far below but wLow $63,665 near). Shorting a fresh flush into stacked weekly value/POC support is fading momentum INTO strong HTF support — forbidden. There is no SFP/reclaim close back above the level to justify a long here either (the candle closed down, not reclaimed), and the daily/4H tape is choppy/rolling over rather than a clean established downtrend to justify a continuation short in open space. Missing element: a valid trigger at a valid location — no reclaim for a long, and a short at this support cluster is not permitted.
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