PasseThe 00:00 UTC 15-minute candle did wick above dVAH $65,134 and pdVAH $65,127, then close back below at $65,063, but the short lacks required corroboration: 5-minute delta and 4-hour CVD are confirming upward, while OI is flat against a short-covering backdrop. The level reaction is therefore not strong enough to fade, and no separate confirmed long trigger has printed.Voir la thèse →
10 août 2026, 00:15 UTC
PasseThe 2026-08-09 23:45 UTC 15m candle did reject the developing dPOC at $64,793.5 (low $64,760.0, close $64,813.6), but the long lacks required corroboration: reaction volume was only 1.6 BTC, 5m delta is flat, OI is flat, and 4h CVD confirms down. This is a poor-quality reaction at a developing fair-value POC, so no clean trade.Voir la thèse →
10 août 2026, 00:05 UTC
PasseD-Open/W-Open at $64,813.6 is in reach, but no valid 15-minute confirming close has printed: the 2026-08-09 23:45 UTC candle wicked below and closed exactly at the level, not back above it, so it is not a confirmed reclaim. Reaction quality is also poor—very low volume, flat 5m delta, and flat 4h OI—while 4h CVD confirms down, so corroboration is insufficient.Voir la thèse →
10 août 2026, 00:00 UTC
PasseThe 23:15 UTC 15m candle confirmed a loss of pdVAL $64,872, but price is now extended below the trigger and pressing directly into the pdL/dPOC support cluster at $64,746/$64,750, so a short here would chase momentum into strong support rather than enter a retest. Although 5m delta confirms the selloff, the 4h bullish CVD divergence and weakening-downtrend OI backdrop conflict with continuation, so corroboration and reaction quality are insufficient.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 23:30 UTC
PassePass: although the closed 23:00 UTC 15m candle swept pdEQ $64,932.8 / pdPOC $64,944.5 and reclaimed both, current price has slipped back below them while the 5m delta response is flat and OI is flat against a short-covering backdrop, so the reaction fails the quality bar. An honest long to the next major objective, pmVAH $65,203, offers only about 1.8:1 from ~$64,930 with a properly buffered stop beyond the $64,904.7 sweep wick, below the required 2:1.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 23:15 UTC
PasseThe 22:45 UTC 15-minute candle did print a bearish rejection/SFP at pdVAH $64,999 (H $65,026.9, C $64,991.3), with 5-minute delta confirming down, but the broader read is conflicted by bullish 4-hour CVD divergence and declining OI/short-covering rather than trapped new longs. The honest short to dPOC $64,750.5 from roughly $64,973 with a buffered stop above the sweep near $65,160 is only about 1.19:1, so this does not clear the normal 2:1 floor under the mixed context.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 23:00 UTC
PasseThe 22:15 UTC 15m candle produced two-sided structure—rejecting Tier-1 pmVAH $65,203 for a short while closing back above dVAH $65,141—but neither side clears the payoff/quality bar. The dVAH long to dHigh $65,444.9 is only about 1.8:1 with a properly buffered stop below the $65,131.7 wick, while the pmVAH short to VWAP $64,981.7 is below 1:1; flat 5m delta and falling OI from short covering further weaken the reaction.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 22:30 UTC
PasseThe 22:00 UTC 15-minute candle confirmed an upside break through pmVAH $65,203 and dHigh $65,227.3, but price is extended above the trigger candle rather than retesting the broken level/body, so an entry now would be chased. Corroboration is also mixed: 5-minute delta and above-VWAP structure support the break, while bearish 4-hour CVD divergence and declining OI/short-covering weaken participation, so a clean long is not confirmed.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 22:15 UTC
PasseThe 19:45 UTC 15m candle did reclaim developing dVAH $65,099 after wicking to $65,096.3, but the reaction is poor: only 1.3 BTC volume, flat 5m delta, and flat 4h OI against a short-covering 24h backdrop. With a properly buffered stop beyond the sweep wick, the honest main objective at dHigh $65,227.3 offers below 1:1 R:R from $65,111.4, so the setup fails both reaction-quality and payoff filters.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 20:00 UTC
PasseThe 19:30 UTC 15-minute candle did close back below the $65,119.4 pdH after trading above it, but the rejection is poor quality: negligible volume, flat 5-minute delta, and flat 4-hour OI. A short is also contradicted by bullish 4-hour CVD divergence and price holding above VWAP, while no confirmed 15-minute long trigger exists.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 19:45 UTC
PasseThe 18:45 UTC 15m candle did close back below the tier-one pdH at $65,119.4, but the reaction is too poor to trade: essentially zero trigger-candle volume, flat 5m delta, and flat 4h/declining 24h open interest. Bearish CVD divergence and positive funding lean short, yet they do not overcome the missing participation confirmation.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 19:00 UTC
PasseThe 17:45 UTC 15m candle did close back below pdH $65,119.4 after trading above it, but the reaction is too poor to short: volume was only 1.8 BTC, 5m delta is flat, and 4h OI is flat. With a properly buffered stop beyond the sweep area and the honest main objective at VWAP $64,910.1, payoff is only about 1.3:1, so the setup also fails the 2:1 floor.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 18:00 UTC
PasseThe 16:15 UTC 15m candle did reclaim below the swept pdH at $65,119.4, but the short is not cleanly corroborated: 4h CVD confirms up, price remains above VWAP/value, and the move into the high was driven by short covering while 5m delta is flat, so the rejection lacks strong bearish participation. A buffered stop beyond the $65,227.3 sweep high also leaves less than 2:1 to the nearest honest downside objectives, so this counter-trend setup fails both reaction-quality and payoff standards.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 16:30 UTC
PasseThe 14:45 UTC 15-minute candle did print a bearish sweep-reclaim of the developing high $65,189.2 and settled pmVAH $65,203.0, but the short lacks broader corroboration: 4h CVD confirms up, local/15m structure is bullish, and 5m delta is flat while falling OI shows short covering rather than trapped new longs. The reaction therefore fails the quality bar despite the valid structural trigger, so no counter-trend short is taken.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 15:00 UTC
PasseThe 14:15 UTC 15m candle did reject the Tier-1 pdH at $65,119.4 by opening above and closing below, but the reaction is too poor to short: only 2.7 BTC traded, 5m delta is flat, and OI is declining rather than showing trapped new longs. Broader CVD is still confirming up and local structure remains bullish, so corroboration is conflicting despite the valid structural close.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 14:30 UTC
PasseThe 13:30 UTC 15m candle did confirm a bullish close through pdH $65,119.4, and current price is an imperfect retest within that trigger body with CVD and 5m delta aligned up. However, an honest stop about 0.2% below the reclaimed pdH near $64,980 against the next major objective at the developing week/month high near $65,316 gives only about 1.01:1 R:R, below the 2:1 floor; flat 4h OI and a short-covering 24h backdrop also weaken the breakout quality.Voir la thèse →
09 août 2026, 13:45 UTC