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The 01:30 UTC 5m candle did reject the developing POC at $63,649.5, but price is already pressing the developing VAL at $63,503 and a freshly flushed session low, so a short would fade momentum directly into support rather than enter in open space. Broader evidence is also conflicted: CVD and 5m delta confirm down, while CCV retains a long bias; therefore the required clean location and uncontradicted corroboration are missing.

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