← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayOpen · T1 takenOpened Sep 17, 2026 · 02:15 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$76,077.0
T1 · 30%$76,312.2
T2 · 25%$76,680.7
STOP (original)$75,830.0
T3 · 20%$76,854.5
Runner · 25%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

T1 bookedSep 17, 2026 · 02:38 UTC
T1 exit$76,312.2
T1 leg P&L+$46.37
Unrealized

Open — not yet resolved.

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$63,662.8

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Level-reaction long at the D-Open $76,095.8 (Tier-2 open) stacked with pdVAH $76,035.0 and the developing day low $76,002.2: the 15m candle closing 02:15 UTC wicked to $76,002.2 — below D-Open, pdVAH and the dLow — and CLOSED back ABOVE D-Open at $76,108.3, the classic wick-and-close-back rejection at the level, so the wick itself defines invalidation and entry at the close is permitted; current price $76,077 is that close area. Corroboration: 4h CVD confirming_up, open interest building (+2.20% 4h healthy uptrend) with neutral funding (+0.01%) and the prior daily candle closing up off $74,949 — flow and OI support buyers defending the open, while 5m delta is flat (no aggressive seller follow-through at the new low). Stop $75,830 sits ~0.2%/$170 below the $76,002 sweep wick (a close back beyond it kills the failed-low thesis). T1 = daily VWAP $76,312.2, the nearest meaningful structure and first reaction level; T2 = developing day high $76,680.7, the main objective; T3 = the day naked POC above at $76,854.5 as extension. R:R to T2 = 604/247 ≈ 2.4:1, clearing the 2:1 floor. T1 fraction raised to 0.30 because this is a counter-bias trade (snapshot CCV bias is short) taken as a scalp rotation back to value, so profit is banked early per SFP discipline; stop then goes to breakeven.

Committed on the market snapshot from Sep 17, 2026 · 02:15 UTC