← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayWinOpened Sep 11, 2026 · 01:45 UTCResolved Sep 11, 2026 · 02:24 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$76,797.1
T1 · 20%$76,947.7
T2 · 25%$77,439.4
STOP (original)$76,450.0
T3 · 20%$78,304.5
Runner · 35%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

T1 bookedSep 11, 2026 · 02:05 UTC
T1 exit$76,947.7
T1 leg P&L+$19.61
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+0.20%
P&L+$19.61
P&L (BTC)+0.00025 BTC
Exit$76,797.1
Price moved+0.04%
Deepest adverse$76,730.0 (-0.09%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$64,265.4

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: the developing day value cluster — dVAL $76,636 / dPOC $76,702.5 / daily VWAP $76,745.2 all stacked within $110 — is being defended after yesterday's flush into pdL $76,389. Trigger: the 15m candle closing 01:45 UTC (O 76,746.9 H 76,842.9 L 76,603.9 C 76,815.8) wicked BELOW dVAL, dPOC and VWAP and CLOSED back above all three — a rejection-at-the-level (close back on the value side), entered at the close since the wick defines the stop; the 5m 01:40 close and 1m 01:44 close corroborate. Corroboration: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance armed (price reclaimed back into value after opening below prior-day value), funding is benign +0.0088%, Fear & Greed 56, and dLow $76,478.7 has held as a higher low over pdL $76,389 — the down-leg's sellers are not pressing (5m delta flat) while price reclaims fair value. Entry here at $76,797 is on the reclaim just above VWAP; stop $76,450 sits below the reclaim wick and the day low with buffer (below it the reclaim is dead and pdL is in play). T1 is the developing day high $76,947.7 (nearest structure), T2 the main objective pdEQ $77,439.4 with prior-session value overhead, T3 the naked daily POC / pdPOC $78,304.5 magnet. R:R to T2 = 642 / 347 ≈ 1.85:1 — below 2:1, so this rests on the named CCV setup (Chart Champions Value / 80% rule, stated ~80%+ win rate): market opened outside prior-day value ($76,494.9 open vs pdVAL $77,138) and is gaining acceptance back — the snapshot marks CCV acceptance armed with long_bias, and the setup's target is a rotation up toward prior-day value. It is WITH the stated CCV long bias, not against it.

Committed on the market snapshot from Sep 11, 2026 · 01:45 UTC