Passed — no trade

The dVAL break at $78,409 fired only on a 5m close (08:05) — the 15m trigger candle is still FORMING (closes 08:15), and the last CLOSED 15m (07:45) closed UP at $78,577 well above the level, so there is no named 15m trigger for a short. This level was also already attempted within the last 30 minutes, and corroboration contradicts the downside anyway: CVD shows bullish divergence, 5m delta is +8.2 BTC into new lows, and price is sitting on pdEQ $78,258.7 / monthly VAL $78,268 support with OI falling (shorts covering, not trapped longs). No confirming close, conflicting flow — pass.